NBA · total · MoneyLine system
High total (232.5+), both teams averaging 120+ over the last 3, under
Closing total (232.5+), both teams averaging 120+ over the last 3; bet the under. Bet: bet the under.
135-106-6 since 2021, ROI after the vig +7.1%.
MoneyLine system — made money 2021–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 135-106-6 (n=241), won 56.0% (95% range 49.7% to 62.1%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +7.1%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 67-55-4, +5.0%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 68-51-2, +9.3%
- 2021-22
- 6-6 (n=12), ROI -4.5%
- 2022-23
- 26-16-1 (n=42), ROI +18.4%
- 2023-24
- 35-33-3 (n=68), ROI -1.5%
- 2024-25
- 26-21-1 (n=47), ROI +6.0%
- 2025-26
- 42-29-1 (n=71), ROI +13.1%
- 2026-27
- 0-1 (n=1), ROI -100.0%
How this is graded
This is our own system, not one published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
Want these edges in your pocket?
Juiced surfaces today's +EV bets and arbitrage on your phone — same data, sorted by ROI.
For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.