NBA · spread_h1 · Published system
Home team on a back-to-back vs rested road, 1H
Regular season. Home team on 0 days rest, road team with 1+. Bet the road team 1H ATS. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.
243-201-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +4.6%.
Published system — made money 2023–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2026-27
- 243-201-1 (n=444), won 54.7% (95% range 50.1% to 59.3%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +4.6%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 81-63-1, +7.4%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 162-138, +3.2%
- 2023-24
- 81-63-1 (n=144), ROI +7.4%
- 2024-25
- 76-72 (n=148), ROI -1.8%
- 2025-26
- 75-61 (n=136), ROI +5.4%
- 2026-27
- 11-5 (n=16), ROI +31.1%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.