NBA · total_h1 · MoneyLine system
Low total (220 or less), division game, under (first half)
Closing total (220 or less), division game; bet the under. First-half total. Bet: bet the 1st half under.
97-73-2 since 2023, ROI after the vig +8.9%.
MoneyLine system — made money 2023–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2026-27
- 97-73-2 (n=170), won 57.1% (95% range 49.5% to 64.3%); break-even 52.4%; ROI after the vig +8.9%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 37-27-1, +10.1%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 60-46-1, +8.1%
- 2023-24
- 37-27-1 (n=64), ROI +10.1%
- 2024-25
- 35-34 (n=69), ROI -3.3%
- 2025-26
- 23-12-1 (n=35), ROI +25.9%
- 2026-27
- 2-0 (n=2), ROI +92.0%
How this is graded
This is our own system, not one published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.