NBA · spread · Published system
Rest edge of 2+ days
Team has 2+ more days of rest than its opponent. Bet: back them on the spread.
347-272-11 since 2021, ROI after the vig +7.1%.
Published system — made money 2021–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 347-272-11 (n=619), won 56.1% (95% range 52.1% to 59.9%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +7.1%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 220-167-9, +8.6%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 127-105-2, +4.6%
- 2021-22
- 81-59-4 (n=140), ROI +10.5%
- 2022-23
- 76-57-3 (n=133), ROI +9.2%
- 2023-24
- 63-51-2 (n=114), ROI +5.7%
- 2024-25
- 62-48-1 (n=110), ROI +7.8%
- 2025-26
- 58-46-1 (n=104), ROI +6.5%
- 2026-27
- 7-11 (n=18), ROI -25.9%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.