NBA · spread · Published system
Road 1-day-rest vs home 2-days-rest
Road team on 1 day rest vs home team on 2 days rest. Bet: back them on the spread.
298-234-8 since 2021, ROI after the vig +7.1%.
Published system — made money 2021–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 298-234-8 (n=532), won 56.0% (95% range 51.8% to 60.2%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +7.1%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 188-138-6, +10.3%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 110-96-2, +2.1%
- 2021-22
- 64-41-2 (n=105), ROI +16.5%
- 2022-23
- 73-53-3 (n=126), ROI +10.9%
- 2023-24
- 51-44-1 (n=95), ROI +2.6%
- 2024-25
- 52-32-1 (n=84), ROI +18.4%
- 2025-26
- 50-61-1 (n=111), ROI -14.0%
- 2026-27
- 8-3 (n=11), ROI +38.3%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.