NBA · spread_h1 · MoneyLine system
Road underdog of 4.5 or less off 3+ straight covers (first half)
Road team, underdog of 4.5 or less at the close, covered 3+ straight. Bet its opponent ATS. First-half spread. Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.
48-35-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +10.1%.
MoneyLine system — made money 2023–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2026-27
- 48-35-1 (n=83), won 57.8% (95% range 47.1% to 67.9%); break-even 52.5%; ROI after the vig +10.1%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 15-6, +35.6%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 33-29-1, +1.5%
- 2023-24
- 15-6 (n=21), ROI +35.6%
- 2024-25
- 11-12-1 (n=23), ROI -9.3%
- 2025-26
- 22-12 (n=34), ROI +23.7%
- 2026-27
- 0-5 (n=5), ROI -100.0%
How this is graded
This is our own system, not one published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.