NBA · spread_h1 · MoneyLine system
Trailed by 12+ at the half last game, favorite: 1H spread
Trailed by 12+ at the half last game, favorite: 1H spread. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1PrevMargin": {"max": -12}, "line.spread": {"lt": 0}} Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.
255-197-7 since 2023, ROI after the vig +7.5%.
MoneyLine system — made money 2023–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2026-27
- 255-197-7 (n=452), won 56.4% (95% range 51.8% to 60.9%); break-even 52.5%; ROI after the vig +7.5%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 82-64-2, +7.0%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 173-133-5, +7.8%
- 2023-24
- 82-64-2 (n=146), ROI +7.0%
- 2024-25
- 79-58-4 (n=137), ROI +9.7%
- 2025-26
- 84-65-1 (n=149), ROI +7.5%
- 2026-27
- 10-10 (n=20), ROI -4.1%
How this is graded
This is our own system, not one published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.