NBA · total_h1 · MoneyLine system
Two slow starters (-3 1H each): 1H under
Two slow starters (-3 1H each): 1H under. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "side": "home", "derived.h1SeasonMarginAvg": {"max": -3}, "schedule.teamGameNumber": {"min": 4}, "opponent.derived.h1SeasonMarginAvg": {"max": -3}} Bet: bet the 1st half under.
101-87-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +2.6%.
MoneyLine system — made money 2023–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2026-27
- 101-87-1 (n=188), won 53.7% (95% range 46.6% to 60.7%); break-even 52.4%; ROI after the vig +2.6%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 31-27, +2.0%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 70-60-1, +2.8%
- 2023-24
- 31-27 (n=58), ROI +2.0%
- 2024-25
- 23-30 (n=53), ROI -17.2%
- 2025-26
- 44-26 (n=70), ROI +20.1%
- 2026-27
- 3-4-1 (n=7), ROI -18.7%
How this is graded
This is our own system, not one published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.