NFL · moneyline_h1 · Published system
Big favorites on the 1H moneyline
Favorite of 10+ (full game): 1H moneyline. Bet: back them on the 1st half moneyline.
67-12-5 since 2023, ROI after the vig +4.5%.
Published system — made money 2023–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2026-27
- 67-12-5 (n=79), won 84.8% (95% range 75.3% to 91.1%); break-even 81.4%; ROI after the vig +4.5%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 22-4-1, +4.8%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 45-8-4, +4.4%
- 2023-24
- 22-4-1 (n=26), ROI +4.8%
- 2024-25
- 15-3-1 (n=18), ROI +2.5%
- 2025-26
- 25-5-2 (n=30), ROI +2.3%
- 2026-27
- 5-0-1 (n=5), ROI +23.6%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
Want these edges in your pocket?
Juiced surfaces today's +EV bets and arbitrage on your phone — same data, sorted by ROI.
For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.