NFL · spread · Published system
Division road dog of 3.5 to 6.5
NFL regular season, division game, road dog of 3.5 to 6.5: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.
62-43 since 2021, ROI after the vig +12.5%.
Published system — made money 2021–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 62-43 (n=105), won 59.1% (95% range 49.5% to 68.0%); break-even 52.4%; ROI after the vig +12.5%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 35-26, +9.1%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 27-17, +17.2%
- 2021-22
- 13-6 (n=19), ROI +29.9%
- 2022-23
- 16-9 (n=25), ROI +21.9%
- 2023-24
- 6-11 (n=17), ROI -33.0%
- 2024-25
- 10-7 (n=17), ROI +13.1%
- 2025-26
- 10-6 (n=16), ROI +18.6%
- 2026-27
- 7-4 (n=11), ROI +21.7%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
Want these edges in your pocket?
Juiced surfaces today's +EV bets and arbitrage on your phone — same data, sorted by ROI.
For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.