NFL · spread_h1 · MoneyLine system
Fast starter (+3 1H), division game: 1H spread
Fast starter (+3 1H), division game: 1H spread. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1SeasonMarginAvg": {"min": 3}, "schedule.teamGameNumber": {"min": 4}, "matchup.divisionGame": true} Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.
58-42-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +10.2%.
MoneyLine system — made money 2023–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2026-27
- 58-42-1 (n=100), won 58.0% (95% range 48.2% to 67.2%); break-even 52.6%; ROI after the vig +10.2%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 23-11, +28.5%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 35-31-1, +0.8%
- 2023-24
- 23-11 (n=34), ROI +28.5%
- 2024-25
- 20-14-1 (n=34), ROI +11.2%
- 2025-26
- 13-12 (n=25), ROI -0.2%
- 2026-27
- 2-5 (n=7), ROI -46.1%
How this is graded
This is our own system, not one published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.