NFL · total · Published system
Late kickoff, total under 40 overs
NFL regular season late kickoff, total under 40: Over. Bet: bet the over.
27-17 since 2021, ROI after the vig +17.4%.
Published system — made money 2021–27 after the vig on a small sample (44 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 27-17 (n=44), won 61.4% (95% range 46.6% to 74.3%); break-even 52.4%; ROI after the vig +17.4%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 16-9, +22.5%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 11-8, +10.6%
- 2021-22
- 0-1 (n=1), ROI -100.0%
- 2022-23
- 7-3 (n=10), ROI +34.3%
- 2023-24
- 9-5 (n=14), ROI +22.9%
- 2024-25
- 7-3 (n=10), ROI +34.0%
- 2025-26
- 4-3 (n=7), ROI +8.8%
- 2026-27
- 0-2 (n=2), ROI -100.0%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.