NFL · spread · Published system
Non-division road favorite of 3.5 to 6.5 off a loss
NFL regular season, non-division game, road favorite of 3.5 to 6.5 off a loss: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.
26-14-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +24.1%.
Published system — made money 2021–27 after the vig on a small sample (40 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 26-14-1 (n=40), won 65.0% (95% range 49.5% to 77.9%); break-even 52.4%; ROI after the vig +24.1%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 11-8, +10.5%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 15-6-1, +36.4%
- 2021-22
- 6-1 (n=7), ROI +63.2%
- 2022-23
- 2-2 (n=4), ROI -4.3%
- 2023-24
- 3-5 (n=8), ROI -28.1%
- 2024-25
- 7-2-1 (n=9), ROI +47.9%
- 2025-26
- 3-4 (n=7), ROI -18.5%
- 2026-27
- 5-0 (n=5), ROI +92.7%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.