NFL · total · Published system
Pre-bye division games: under
Team heading into its bye vs a division opponent not in the same spot. Bet: bet the under.
24-11-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +30.9%.
Published system — made money 2021–27 after the vig on a small sample (35 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 24-11-1 (n=35), won 68.6% (95% range 52.0% to 81.5%); break-even 52.4%; ROI after the vig +30.9%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 14-8-1, +21.5%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 10-3, +46.9%
- 2021-22
- 5-3 (n=8), ROI +18.9%
- 2022-23
- 4-3-1 (n=7), ROI +9.6%
- 2023-24
- 5-2 (n=7), ROI +36.5%
- 2024-25
- 5-0 (n=5), ROI +91.3%
- 2025-26
- 4-1 (n=5), ROI +52.5%
- 2026-27
- 1-2 (n=3), ROI -36.4%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.