NFL · spread_h1 · Published system
Road favorites 1H
Regular-season road favorite, 1H spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.
190-160-4 since 2023, ROI after the vig +4.6%.
Published system — made money 2023–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2026-27
- 190-160-4 (n=350), won 54.3% (95% range 49.0% to 59.4%); break-even 52.0%; ROI after the vig +4.6%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 59-43, +11.4%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 131-117-4, +1.8%
- 2023-24
- 59-43 (n=102), ROI +11.4%
- 2024-25
- 61-41-2 (n=102), ROI +14.6%
- 2025-26
- 48-55-2 (n=103), ROI -9.5%
- 2026-27
- 22-21 (n=43), ROI -1.2%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
Want these edges in your pocket?
Juiced surfaces today's +EV bets and arbitrage on your phone — same data, sorted by ROI.
For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.