NFL · total · Published system
Week 3 road favorite high-total unders
Week 3 game with a road favorite and total 44+. Bet: bet the under.
20-6 since 2021, ROI after the vig +47.0%.
Published system — made money 2021–27 after the vig on a small sample (26 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 20-6 (n=26), won 76.9% (95% range 58.0% to 89.0%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +47.0%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 12-3, +53.0%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 8-3, +38.9%
- 2021-22
- 3-1 (n=4), ROI +42.9%
- 2022-23
- 6-2 (n=8), ROI +43.6%
- 2023-24
- 3-0 (n=3), ROI +91.5%
- 2024-25
- 3-2 (n=5), ROI +15.0%
- 2025-26
- 4-0 (n=4), ROI +90.4%
- 2026-27
- 1-1 (n=2), ROI -4.5%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.