NFL · total · Published system
Weeks 1-4, total under 40 unders
NFL regular season weeks 1-4, total under 40: Under. Bet: bet the under.
20-13 since 2021, ROI after the vig +15.8%.
Published system — made money 2021–27 after the vig on a small sample (33 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 20-13 (n=33), won 60.6% (95% range 43.7% to 75.3%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +15.8%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 8-7, +1.9%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 12-6, +27.4%
- 2022-23
- 3-4 (n=7), ROI -18.1%
- 2023-24
- 5-3 (n=8), ROI +19.4%
- 2024-25
- 7-3 (n=10), ROI +33.8%
- 2025-26
- 1-1 (n=2), ROI -4.3%
- 2026-27
- 4-2 (n=6), ROI +27.3%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.