NHL · spread · Published system
Conference home teams after close favored loss
Game 9-61; conference opponent; opponent won last by 1-7; team lost last by 3-8 as a favorite. Bet: back them on the spread.
44-45 since 2021, ROI after the vig +6.5%.
Published system — made money 2021–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 44-45 (n=89), won 49.4% (95% range 39.3% to 59.6%); break-even 46.5%; ROI after the vig +6.5%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 22-22, +6.7%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 22-23, +6.3%
- 2021-22
- 8-7 (n=15), ROI +18.3%
- 2022-23
- 5-8 (n=13), ROI -7.9%
- 2023-24
- 9-7 (n=16), ROI +7.9%
- 2024-25
- 14-8 (n=22), ROI +34.3%
- 2025-26
- 8-13 (n=21), ROI -12.9%
- 2026-27
- 0-2 (n=2), ROI -100.0%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.