NHL · moneyline · MoneyLine system
Fade teams after a shutout win as favorites
Favorite that pitched/posted a shutout in its previous game; bet the opponent. Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.
167-236 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.8%.
MoneyLine system — made money 2021–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 167-236 (n=403), won 41.4% (95% range 36.7% to 46.3%); break-even 40.8%; ROI after the vig +0.8%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 92-136, +0.9%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 75-100, +0.8%
- 2021-22
- 25-55 (n=80), ROI -25.8%
- 2022-23
- 32-37 (n=69), ROI +22.5%
- 2023-24
- 35-44 (n=79), ROI +8.9%
- 2024-25
- 39-57 (n=96), ROI -3.6%
- 2025-26
- 33-34 (n=67), ROI +14.1%
- 2026-27
- 3-9 (n=12), ROI -38.1%
How this is graded
This is our own system, not one published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
Want these edges in your pocket?
Juiced surfaces today's +EV bets and arbitrage on your phone — same data, sorted by ROI.
For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.