NHL · moneyline · Published system
Fade teams on a back-to-back
Team playing 2nd game of a B2B. Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.
872-586 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.6%.
Published system — made money 2021–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 872-586 (n=1458), won 59.8% (95% range 57.3% to 62.3%); break-even 57.5%; ROI after the vig +4.6%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 499-335, +5.1%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 373-251, +4.0%
- 2021-22
- 198-120 (n=318), ROI +9.0%
- 2022-23
- 162-111 (n=273), ROI +5.3%
- 2023-24
- 139-104 (n=243), ROI -0.4%
- 2024-25
- 175-107 (n=282), ROI +7.4%
- 2025-26
- 161-125 (n=286), ROI -0.9%
- 2026-27
- 37-19 (n=56), ROI +12.4%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.