NHL · moneyline · MoneyLine system
Home teams that won the last meeting by 3+, as underdogs
Home underdog that beat this opponent by 3+ last time. Bet: back them on the moneyline.
129-158 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.9%.
MoneyLine system — made money in 2024-25 to 2026-27 after the vig but lost in 2021-22 to 2023-24. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 129-158 (n=287), won 45.0% (95% range 39.3% to 50.7%); break-even 45.0%; ROI after the vig +0.9%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 62-90, -7.1%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 67-68, +10.0%
- 2021-22
- 17-19 (n=36), ROI +11.9%
- 2022-23
- 19-38 (n=57), ROI -26.6%
- 2023-24
- 26-33 (n=59), ROI +0.2%
- 2024-25
- 31-32 (n=63), ROI +10.0%
- 2025-26
- 24-31 (n=55), ROI -5.0%
- 2026-27
- 12-5 (n=17), ROI +58.3%
How this is graded
This is our own system, not one published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.