NHL · spread · Published system
Road favorites after a 4+ goal loss, puck line
Road favorite that lost its previous game by 4+; -1.5. Bet: back them on the spread.
62-87 since 2021, ROI after the vig +2.8%.
Published system — made money 2021–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 62-87 (n=149), won 41.6% (95% range 34.0% to 49.6%); break-even 40.8%; ROI after the vig +2.8%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 37-52, +0.4%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 25-35, +6.2%
- 2021-22
- 16-13 (n=29), ROI +33.2%
- 2022-23
- 9-14 (n=23), ROI -5.3%
- 2023-24
- 12-25 (n=37), ROI -21.7%
- 2024-25
- 14-17 (n=31), ROI +11.1%
- 2025-26
- 10-12 (n=22), ROI +18.8%
- 2026-27
- 1-6 (n=7), ROI -55.1%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
Want these edges in your pocket?
Juiced surfaces today's +EV bets and arbitrage on your phone — same data, sorted by ROI.
For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.