NHL · moneyline · MoneyLine system
Road favorites playing 4 games in 6 nights, fade
Road favorite in its 4th game in 6 nights; bet the opponent. Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.
214-259 since 2021, ROI after the vig +3.0%.
MoneyLine system — made money in 2024-25 to 2026-27 after the vig but lost in 2021-22 to 2023-24. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 214-259 (n=473), won 45.2% (95% range 40.8% to 49.8%); break-even 43.8%; ROI after the vig +3.0%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 115-170, -5.3%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 99-89, +15.5%
- 2021-22
- 46-55 (n=101), ROI +3.3%
- 2022-23
- 32-62 (n=94), ROI -16.8%
- 2023-24
- 37-53 (n=90), ROI -2.8%
- 2024-25
- 37-40 (n=77), ROI +6.7%
- 2025-26
- 56-45 (n=101), ROI +20.8%
- 2026-27
- 6-4 (n=10), ROI +28.6%
How this is graded
This is our own system, not one published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
Want these edges in your pocket?
Juiced surfaces today's +EV bets and arbitrage on your phone — same data, sorted by ROI.
For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.