Betting trends

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NFL

Published system — made money 2021–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.

• Published systemDogs after scoring 3 or fewer

  Underdog that scored 3 or fewer points in its last game. Bet: back them on the spread.

  33-18-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +23.8%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 18-10-1, +22.7%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 15-8, +25.2%.

• Published systemNon-division home dog of 7+

  NFL regular season, non-division game, home dog of 7+: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  42-24-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +21.2%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 27-14-1, +25.4%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 15-10-1, +14.3%.

• Published systemEarly kickoff, total under 40 unders

  NFL regular season early kickoff, total under 40: Under. Bet: bet the under.

  71-42-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +20.1%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 42-23-1, +23.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 29-19, +15.4%.

• Published systemDivision dogs that scored 10 or less in a loss

  Scored 10 or fewer in last game (a loss); division underdog: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  57-34-4 since 2021, ROI after the vig +19.7%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 29-20-2, +13.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 28-14-2, +27.5%.

• Published systemNon-division home dog of 7+ off a loss

  NFL regular season, non-division game, home dog of 7+ off a loss: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  33-20-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +18.9%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 21-13, +17.9%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 12-7-1, +20.5%.

• Published systemFade favorites with a much worse record

  Favorite (4+ games) whose win pct is .250+ worse: bet against. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  34-22 since 2021, ROI after the vig +16.0%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 16-8, +27.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 18-14, +7.7%.

• Published systemWeek 1 unders

  Week 1 games. Bet: bet the under.

  58-38 since 2021, ROI after the vig +15.6%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 32-16, +27.4%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 26-22, +3.7%.

• MoneyLine systemSlow starter (-3 1H), division game: fade 1H spread

  Slow starter (-3 1H), division game: fade 1H spread. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1SeasonMarginAvg": {"max": -3}, "schedule.teamGameNumber": {"min": 4}, "matchup.divisionGame": true} Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.

  61-41-2 since 2023, ROI after the vig +13.7%. 2023-24: 20-10, +26.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 41-31-2, +8.3%.

• Published systemLosing-streak dogs vs much better teams

  Lost last 3 SU; opponent win pct 50+ points higher; underdog of 5.5+. Bet: back them on the spread.

  35-24-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +13.7%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 15-12, +6.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 20-12-2, +20.1%.

• Published systemHome favorite vs an eliminated opponent

  NFL home favorite facing an eliminated team: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  38-26 since 2021, ROI after the vig +12.8%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 17-14, +4.2%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 21-12, +21.0%.

• Published systemDivision road dog of 3.5 to 6.5

  NFL regular season, division game, road dog of 3.5 to 6.5: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  62-43 since 2021, ROI after the vig +12.5%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 35-26, +9.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 27-17, +17.2%.

• Published systemHigh full-game total 1H overs

  Full-game total 50 or more: 1H over (scripted openings vs top offenses). Bet: bet the 1st half over.

  47-33 since 2023, ROI after the vig +12.2%. 2023-24: 6-5, +4.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 41-28, +13.4%.

• MoneyLine systemSlow starter (-3) as an underdog: fade 1H spread

  Slow starter (-3) as an underdog: fade 1H spread. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1SeasonMarginAvg": {"max": -3}, "schedule.teamGameNumber": {"min": 4}, "line.spread": {"gt": 0}} Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.

  167-118-5 since 2023, ROI after the vig +11.8%. 2023-24: 50-34-1, +13.9%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 117-84-4, +11.0%.

• Published systemHome favorite on Sunday after a Monday game

  NFL home favorite playing Sunday on 5 or fewer days rest (played the Monday before): team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  41-29 since 2021, ROI after the vig +11.6%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 22-15, +13.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 19-14, +9.4%.

• Published systemDivision road dog of 3 or less

  NFL regular season, division game, road dog of 3 or less: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  55-40-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +11.2%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 33-22, +15.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 22-18-1, +5.6%.

• Published systemHome favorite traveling east

  NFL home favorite traveling east: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  91-66 since 2021, ROI after the vig +10.8%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 44-38, +2.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 47-28, +20.0%.

• Published systemNon-division road favorite of 3 or less off a win

  NFL regular season, non-division game, road favorite of 3 or less off a win: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  49-35-4 since 2021, ROI after the vig +10.8%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 25-17-3, +13.2%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 24-18-1, +8.3%.

• Published systemWeek 1 1H unders

  Regular season Week 1. Bet the 1H under. Bet: bet the 1st half under.

  34-25-2 since 2023, ROI after the vig +10.4%. 2023-24: 9-4, +32.2%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 25-21-2, +4.2%.

• MoneyLine systemAny team at 1%+ EV, -200 to +200: moneyline

  NFL: Any team at 1%+ EV, -200 to +200: moneyline. Machine rule: {"ev.ml.pct": {"min": 1}, "ev.ml.price": {"min": -200, "max": 200}}; bet {"market": "ml", "side": "team", "price": "ev_book"} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  35-32 since 2021, ROI after the vig +10.4%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 22-21, +7.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 13-11, +16.2%.

• Published systemNon-division road favorite of 3 or less

  NFL regular season, non-division game, road favorite of 3 or less: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  99-72-9 since 2021, ROI after the vig +10.3%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 52-37-7, +11.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 47-35-2, +9.4%.

• MoneyLine systemFast starter (+3 1H), division game: 1H spread

  Fast starter (+3 1H), division game: 1H spread. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1SeasonMarginAvg": {"min": 3}, "schedule.teamGameNumber": {"min": 4}, "matchup.divisionGame": true} Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  58-42-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +10.2%. 2023-24: 23-11, +28.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 35-31-1, +0.8%.

• Published systemFade favorites that lost but covered

  Lost last game but covered; favored now: bet against. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  36-27 since 2021, ROI after the vig +9.4%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 21-18, +3.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 15-9, +19.8%.

• MoneyLine systemSlow starter (-5) as an underdog: fade 1H spread

  Slow starter (-5) as an underdog: fade 1H spread. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1SeasonMarginAvg": {"max": -5}, "schedule.teamGameNumber": {"min": 4}, "line.spread": {"gt": 0}} Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.

  110-84-5 since 2023, ROI after the vig +8.3%. 2023-24: 39-24-1, +18.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 71-60-4, +3.5%.

• Published systemLate-window home favorites 1H

  4 PM ET window (late) home favorite, 1H spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  84-64-2 since 2023, ROI after the vig +8.3%. 2023-24: 29-18, +18.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 55-46-2, +3.7%.

• Published systemDogs after scoring 6 or fewer

  Underdog that scored 6 or fewer points in its last game. Bet: back them on the spread.

  49-38-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +7.7%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 25-22-1, +1.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 24-16-1, +14.6%.

• Published systemFade weak offenses on the road late

  After Thanksgiving, road team averaging under 19 PPG. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  62-48-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +7.7%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 43-32-2, +9.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 19-16, +3.7%.

• Published systemHome favorite off a loss, 1H

  Regular-season home favorite off a loss, 1H spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  118-90-4 since 2023, ROI after the vig +7.6%. 2023-24: 42-31-1, +8.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 76-59-3, +7.1%.

• MoneyLine systemSlow starter (-3 1H), week 10 or later: fade 1H spread

  Slow starter (-3 1H), week 10 or later: fade 1H spread. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1SeasonMarginAvg": {"max": -3}, "schedule.teamGameNumber": {"min": 4}, "derived.nflWeek": {"min": 10}} Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.

  82-63-4 since 2023, ROI after the vig +7.3%. 2023-24: 26-18-1, +11.9%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 56-45-3, +5.3%.

• Published systemRoad favorite off a loss first half

  NFL road favorite off a loss: first-half ATS. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  69-55-2 since 2023, ROI after the vig +6.9%. 2023-24: 19-15, +9.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 50-40-2, +6.0%.

• Published systemHome favorites of 3 to 6.5, 1H

  Regular-season home favorite of 3 to 6.5, 1H spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  150-116-4 since 2023, ROI after the vig +6.7%. 2023-24: 51-31, +17.4%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 99-85-4, +1.9%.

• Published systemRoad favorite traveling west

  NFL road favorite traveling west: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  75-60-5 since 2021, ROI after the vig +6.1%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 36-31-3, +2.2%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 39-29-2, +10.0%.

• Published systemHome favorite on a 3+ straight covers

  NFL home favorite on a 3+ straight covers: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  48-38-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +6.0%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 28-20, +10.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 20-18-2, +0.4%.

• MoneyLine systemLed by 10+ at the half but lost the game: full-game spread

  Led by 10+ at the half but lost the game: full-game spread. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1PrevMargin": {"min": 10}, "form.prevResult": "L"} Bet: back them on the spread.

  30-24-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +5.8%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 16-13-1, +5.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 14-11, +6.5%.

• MoneyLine systemBoth teams went under the 1H total last game: 1H over

  Both teams went under the 1H total last game: 1H over. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "side": "home", "derived.h1PrevOver": "L", "opponent.derived.h1PrevOver": "L"} Bet: bet the 1st half over.

  88-71-2 since 2023, ROI after the vig +5.4%. 2023-24: 23-16, +12.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 65-55-2, +3.2%.

• Published systemWeeks 1-4, total 44-47.5 unders

  NFL regular season weeks 1-4, total 44-47.5: Under. Bet: bet the under.

  74-61 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.8%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 37-28, +8.9%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 37-33, +1.1%.

• Published systemRoad favorites 1H

  Regular-season road favorite, 1H spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  190-160-4 since 2023, ROI after the vig +4.6%. 2023-24: 59-43, +11.4%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 131-117-4, +1.8%.

• Published systemBig favorites on the 1H moneyline

  Favorite of 10+ (full game): 1H moneyline. Bet: back them on the 1st half moneyline.

  67-12-5 since 2023, ROI after the vig +4.5%. 2023-24: 22-4-1, +4.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 45-8-4, +4.4%.

• Published systemNon-division road favorite of 3 or less off a loss

  NFL regular season, non-division game, road favorite of 3 or less off a loss: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  41-34-5 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.2%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 22-19-4, +1.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 19-15-1, +7.3%.

• MoneyLine systemFast starter (+3) as a favorite: 1H spread

  Fast starter (+3) as a favorite: 1H spread. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1SeasonMarginAvg": {"min": 3}, "schedule.teamGameNumber": {"min": 4}, "line.spread": {"lt": 0}} Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  146-122-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +3.8%. 2023-24: 51-37, +10.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 95-85-1, +0.8%.

• MoneyLine systemLost 1H spread, covered full-game spread last game: fade 1H spread

  Lost 1H spread, covered full-game spread last game: fade 1H spread. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1PrevAts": "L", "form.prevAts": "W"} Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.

  99-83-5 since 2023, ROI after the vig +3.8%. 2023-24: 29-23, +6.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 70-60-5, +2.7%.

• Published systemRoad dog off a 20+ point loss

  NFL road dog whose last game was a 20+ point loss: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  51-43 since 2021, ROI after the vig +3.7%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 24-19, +6.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 27-24, +1.3%.

• MoneyLine systemTrailed by 10+ at the half last game, favorite: 1H spread

  Trailed by 10+ at the half last game, favorite: 1H spread. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1PrevMargin": {"max": -10}, "line.spread": {"lt": 0}} Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  67-56-2 since 2023, ROI after the vig +3.7%. 2023-24: 22-17-1, +7.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 45-39-1, +1.8%.

• Published systemEarly-season divisional road dogs

  Division game, road underdog, Weeks 1-10. Bet: back them on the spread.

  78-66-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +3.5%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 43-35, +5.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 35-31-1, +1.5%.

• Published systemDivision game, total 48+ unders

  NFL regular season division game, total 48+: Under. Bet: bet the under.

  56-48 since 2021, ROI after the vig +3.0%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 29-26, +0.7%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 27-22, +5.6%.

• Published systemBig win-pct mismatch favorites 1H

  Favorite whose season win pct is .300+ higher than the opponent's (week 4 on), 1H spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  126-107-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +2.9%. 2023-24: 31-25, +5.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 95-82-1, +2.3%.

• Published systemLate-season better-record favorite 3+

  After Thanksgiving: team with a better record (by at least one win) favored by 3+. Bet: back them on the spread.

  172-147-7 since 2021, ROI after the vig +2.7%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 108-92-4, +2.9%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 64-55-3, +2.4%.

• Published systemHome favorite first half

  NFL home favorite: first-half ATS. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  285-247-6 since 2023, ROI after the vig +2.0%. 2023-24: 88-69-1, +6.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 197-178-5, +0.1%.

• Published systemFade road teams off a Monday game

  Road team on Sunday whose last game was a Monday (6 days earlier). Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  43-38-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.7%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 22-20-1, +0.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 21-18, +3.5%.

• Published systemDivision road favorite of 3.5 to 6.5

  NFL regular season, division game, road favorite of 3.5 to 6.5: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  36-32 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.5%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 18-16, +1.4%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 18-16, +1.7%.

• Published systemNon-division home favorite of 3.5 to 6.5 off a win

  NFL regular season, non-division game, home favorite of 3.5 to 6.5 off a win: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  55-49-3 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.2%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 26-23-2, +1.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 29-26-1, +0.9%.

• MoneyLine systemUnderdog at 2%+ EV, +100 to +200: moneyline

  NFL: Underdog at 2%+ EV, +100 to +200: moneyline. Machine rule: {"line.isFavorite": false, "ev.ml.pct": {"min": 2}, "ev.ml.price": {"min": 100, "max": 200}}; bet {"market": "ml", "side": "team", "price": "ev_book"} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  17-7 since 2021, ROI after the vig +70.5%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 11-5, +63.9%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 6-2, +83.5%.

• Published systemFade SNF 30+ PPG offenses vs lesser offenses

  Sunday night team averaging 30+ PPG vs an opponent that does not. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  16-4 since 2021, ROI after the vig +52.2%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 9-3, +43.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 7-1, +65.6%.

• MoneyLine systemAny team at 2%+ EV, -200 to +200: moneyline

  NFL: Any team at 2%+ EV, -200 to +200: moneyline. Machine rule: {"ev.ml.pct": {"min": 2}, "ev.ml.price": {"min": -200, "max": 200}}; bet {"market": "ml", "side": "team", "price": "ev_book"} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  22-10 since 2021, ROI after the vig +50.9%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 14-8, +37.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 8-2, +80.2%.

• Published systemWeek 3 road favorite high-total unders

  Week 3 game with a road favorite and total 44+. Bet: bet the under.

  20-6 since 2021, ROI after the vig +47.0%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 12-3, +53.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 8-3, +38.9%.

• Published systemFade Week 16+ middling teams vs weaker foes

  Week 16 or later: team at .400-.600 vs an opponent .080-.250 worse. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  22-7-3 since 2021, ROI after the vig +44.0%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 13-5-2, +36.4%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 9-2-1, +56.4%.

• MoneyLine systemFast starter (+3 1H), off a bye: 1H spread

  Fast starter (+3 1H), off a bye: 1H spread. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1SeasonMarginAvg": {"min": 3}, "schedule.teamGameNumber": {"min": 4}, "schedule.offBye": true} Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  22-8 since 2023, ROI after the vig +39.3%. 2023-24: 4-3, +9.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 18-5, +48.3%.

• Published systemOvers after a close division loss, lopsided line

  Lost by 3 or less to a division rival; now 7+ dog or 7+ fav: Over. Bet: bet the over.

  19-7 since 2021, ROI after the vig +39.3%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 9-2, +56.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 10-5, +27.0%.

• Published systemDivision road dog of 3.5 to 6.5 off a win

  NFL regular season, division game, road dog of 3.5 to 6.5 off a win: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  27-10 since 2021, ROI after the vig +39.3%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 15-7, +29.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 12-3, +53.2%.

• Published systemHome favorite before its bye

  NFL home favorite with its bye next: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  27-10 since 2021, ROI after the vig +39.0%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 15-6, +36.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 12-4, +42.2%.

• Published systemLow total, two bad defenses, under

  Total 45 or less, both teams allow 26+: Under. Bet: bet the under.

  14-6 since 2021, ROI after the vig +33.8%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 7-4, +21.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 7-2, +48.6%.

• MoneyLine systemTrailed by 10+ at the half but won the game: fade 1H spread

  Trailed by 10+ at the half but won the game: fade 1H spread. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1PrevMargin": {"max": -10}, "form.prevResult": "W"} Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.

  21-9-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +33.5%. 2023-24: 7-1, +67.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 14-8-1, +21.2%.

• Published systemDivision road dog of 3 or less off a loss

  NFL regular season, division game, road dog of 3 or less off a loss: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  27-12 since 2021, ROI after the vig +33.2%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 17-6, +42.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 10-6, +20.2%.

• MoneyLine systemLed by 10+ at the half but lost the game: 1H spread

  Led by 10+ at the half but lost the game: 1H spread. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1PrevMargin": {"min": 10}, "form.prevResult": "L"} Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  23-10 since 2023, ROI after the vig +32.8%. 2023-24: 5-3, +20.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 18-7, +36.6%.

• Published systemSNF non-conference unders

  Sunday night AFC vs NFC game. Bet: bet the under.

  18-8-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +32.6%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 9-4-1, +32.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 9-4-1, +33.1%.

• Published systemLate-season teams off scoring under 6

  Post-Thanksgiving: team scored under 6 points in its last game. Bet: back them on the spread.

  20-9-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +31.6%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 12-7-1, +19.7%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 8-2, +54.1%.

• Published systemLate-season road dogs with good offense vs good defense

  Nov-Jan, road dog averaging 26+ vs defense allowing 20.5 or less: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  22-10-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +31.6%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 12-6, +27.9%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 10-4-1, +36.3%.

• Published systemPre-bye division games: under

  Team heading into its bye vs a division opponent not in the same spot. Bet: bet the under.

  24-11-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +30.9%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 14-8-1, +21.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 10-3, +46.9%.

• Published systemDivision home favorite of 7+ off a loss

  NFL regular season, division game, home favorite of 7+ off a loss: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  25-12 since 2021, ROI after the vig +29.0%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 15-8, +24.4%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 10-4, +36.6%.

• Published systemFavorite off an upset loss as a big favorite, 1H

  Previous game lost as a 7+ favorite; now favored again: 1H spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  25-12 since 2023, ROI after the vig +28.3%. 2023-24: 8-3, +37.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 17-9, +24.6%.

• Published systemPre-bye home teams Week 8+

  Home team in the game before its bye, Week 8 or later. Bet: back them on the spread.

  32-16 since 2021, ROI after the vig +27.5%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 18-9, +27.2%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 14-7, +27.8%.

• Published systemUnder after an upset win as a 7+ dog, now favored

  Won outright last game as a 7+ dog; favored now: Under. Bet: bet the under.

  18-9 since 2021, ROI after the vig +27.3%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 9-4, +32.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 9-5, +22.9%.

• MoneyLine systemAny team at 2%+ EV, -200 to +200: spread

  NFL: Any team at 2%+ EV, -200 to +200: spread. Machine rule: {"ev.spread.pct": {"min": 2}, "ev.spread.price": {"min": -200, "max": 200}}; bet {"market": "ats", "side": "team", "price": "ev_book"} Bet: back them on the spread.

  14-9 since 2021, ROI after the vig +25.6%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 7-7, +3.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 7-2, +60.8%.

• Published systemFade division favorites that lost but covered

  Lost last game but covered; division favorite now: bet against. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  15-8 since 2021, ROI after the vig +25.4%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 9-5, +23.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 6-3, +29.0%.

• Published systemLow-scoring teams not big dogs overs

  Team averaging under 14 PPG, not more than an 8-point dog: Over. Bet: bet the over.

  19-10 since 2021, ROI after the vig +24.9%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 10-7, +12.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 9-3, +42.7%.

• Published system0-2 teams vs 1-1 teams in Week 3

  Week 3, 0-2 SU team vs 1-1 SU team. Bet: back them on the spread.

  15-8-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +24.5%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 7-3-1, +33.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 8-5, +18.0%.

• Published systemNon-division road favorite of 3.5 to 6.5 off a loss

  NFL regular season, non-division game, road favorite of 3.5 to 6.5 off a loss: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  26-14-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +24.1%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 11-8, +10.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 15-6-1, +36.4%.

• Published systemNon-Sunday late-season road favorites

  After Thanksgiving, non-Sunday, road favorite -3 to -9.5. Bet: back them on the spread.

  19-10-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +24.1%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 13-6, +29.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 6-4-1, +13.6%.

• MoneyLine systemBoth teams 1H Last5 points avg 26+: 1H over

  Both teams 1H Last5 points avg 26+: 1H over. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "side": "home", "derived.h1Last5PointsAvg": {"min": 26}, "opponent.derived.h1Last5PointsAvg": {"min": 26}} Bet: bet the 1st half over.

  18-10 since 2023, ROI after the vig +22.4%. 2023-24: 3-2, +12.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 15-8, +24.5%.

• Published systemFade MNF non-conference home teams

  Monday night AFC vs NFC, home team. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  21-12-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +21.5%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 9-3-1, +43.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 12-9-1, +9.0%.

• Published systemFade home dogs with the better record

  Home underdog whose win pct is .100+ better: bet against. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  17-10 since 2021, ROI after the vig +20.2%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 8-3, +38.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 9-7, +7.8%.

• Published systemDivision road favorite of 3.5 to 6.5 off a loss

  NFL regular season, division game, road favorite of 3.5 to 6.5 off a loss: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  15-9 since 2021, ROI after the vig +19.7%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 8-4, +27.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 7-5, +12.1%.

• Published systemWeek 2 dogs off ATS loss

  Week 2 underdog that failed to cover in Week 1. Bet: back them on the spread.

  26-16-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +18.6%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 12-7-2, +20.7%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 14-9, +16.9%.

• MoneyLine systemAny team at 1%+ EV, -200 to +200: 1st-half spread

  NFL: Any team at 1%+ EV, -200 to +200: 1st-half spread. Machine rule: {"firstHalf.ev.spread.pct": {"min": 1}, "firstHalf.ev.spread.price": {"min": -200, "max": 200}}; bet {"market": "ats_h1", "side": "team", "price": "ev_book"} Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  18-13 since 2023, ROI after the vig +18.4%. 2023-24: 3-2, +21.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 15-11, +17.8%.

• Published systemFade low-scoring small dogs on a win streak

  Averaging under 22, won last 2, dog of 3 or less: bet against. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  17-10-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +18.4%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 11-8-1, +8.4%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 6-2, +42.0%.

• Published systemFade early-season blowout winners

  Team game number 2-7; previous game won by 30+. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  13-8 since 2021, ROI after the vig +18.3%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 6-4, +14.7%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 7-4, +21.6%.

• Published systemRoad favorite off a 20+ point loss

  NFL road favorite whose last game was a 20+ point loss: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  13-8-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +17.4%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 8-6-1, +8.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 5-2-1, +35.6%.

• Published systemLate kickoff, total under 40 overs

  NFL regular season late kickoff, total under 40: Over. Bet: bet the over.

  27-17 since 2021, ROI after the vig +17.4%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 16-9, +22.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 11-8, +10.6%.

• Published systemSNF home underdogs

  Sunday night home underdog. Bet: back them on the spread.

  22-14 since 2021, ROI after the vig +17.3%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 10-7, +12.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 12-7, +21.3%.

• Published systemFade high-scoring road teams

  Road/neutral team averaging over 31 PPG: bet against. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  22-14-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +16.8%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 12-5, +34.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 10-9-1, +0.9%.

• Published systemPre-bye home underdogs

  Home underdog in the game before its bye. Bet: back them on the spread.

  20-13-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +16.5%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 11-6, +24.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 9-7-2, +8.2%.

• MoneyLine systemBoth teams last 1H combined 26+ points: 1H under

  Both teams last 1H combined 26+ points: 1H under. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "side": "home", "derived.h1PrevPoints": {"min": 30}, "opponent.derived.h1PrevPoints": {"min": 30}} Bet: bet the 1st half under.

  27-17-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +16.5%. 2023-24: 10-3, +45.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 17-14-1, +4.2%.

• Published systemWeeks 1-4, total under 40 unders

  NFL regular season weeks 1-4, total under 40: Under. Bet: bet the under.

  20-13 since 2021, ROI after the vig +15.8%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 8-7, +1.9%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 12-6, +27.4%.

• Published systemFade post-bye home teams vs non-conference

  Home team coming out of its bye vs a non-conference opponent. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  21-14-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +15.0%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 12-7-1, +20.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 9-7, +8.7%.

• Published systemFade late-season home win streaks vs division

  Post-Thanksgiving home team on a 3+ game win streak, not favored by 7+, vs a division rival. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  15-10-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +14.6%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 9-5, +23.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 6-5-1, +3.6%.

• Published systemFade bad offense laying points to bad defense

  Favorite averaging 19 or less vs a defense allowing 27+: bet against. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  19-13 since 2021, ROI after the vig +13.4%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 10-7, +11.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 9-6, +15.4%.

• Published systemTeams off a shutout

  Team was shut out in its last game. Bet: back them on the spread.

  17-12 since 2021, ROI after the vig +12.1%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 10-9, +0.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 7-3, +34.3%.

• Published systemDog of 4+ after losing by 28+

  Spread +4 or more; previous game lost by 28+; team game number >= 2. Bet: back them on the spread.

  27-20 since 2021, ROI after the vig +9.6%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 13-10, +7.7%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 14-10, +11.5%.

• Published systemEarly-round playoff 1H underdogs

  Postseason, Wild Card and Divisional rounds. Bet the underdog on the 1H spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  16-12-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +9.3%. 2023-24: 5-4, +6.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 11-8-1, +10.6%.

• Published systemRematch: lost the first meeting, now 20%+ better

  Lost the earlier meeting this season but now has a win pct at least .200 better than the opponent. Bet: back them on the spread.

  13-10 since 2021, ROI after the vig +7.4%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 7-6, +2.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 6-4, +13.8%.

• Published system1H bounce-back after 7 or fewer at home

  Team's previous game was at home and it scored 7 or fewer points. Bet it 1H ATS in its next game. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  23-18-2 since 2023, ROI after the vig +6.7%. 2023-24: 6-4, +15.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 17-14-2, +3.7%.

NBA

MoneyLine system — made money 2023–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdog of 4.5 or less on a 4+ game losing streak (first half)

  Road team, underdog of 4.5 or less at the close, has lost 4+ straight. Bet that team ATS. First-half spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  46-21 since 2023, ROI after the vig +30.9%. 2023-24: 16-5, +45.7%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 30-16, +24.2%.

• MoneyLine systemAway team at 4%+ EV, priced -200 to +200: moneyline

  NBA: back the away team when one book prices the bet at 4% EV or more against the other books' no-vig price, at a price from -200 to +200 (moneyline). Machine rule: {"listedSide": "away", "ev.ml.pct": {"min": 4}, "ev.ml.price": {"min": -200, "max": 200}}; bet {"market": "ml", "side": "team", "price": "ev_book"} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  49-33 since 2021, ROI after the vig +29.0%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 35-25, +28.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 14-8, +31.4%.

• MoneyLine systemHome underdog of 10+ on a back-to-back vs a rested team (first half)

  Home team, underdog of 10+ at the close, is on a back-to-back, opponent rested. Bet its opponent ATS. First-half spread. Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.

  40-20 since 2023, ROI after the vig +27.0%. 2023-24: 14-7, +26.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 26-13, +27.1%.

• MoneyLine systemFavorite at 4%+ EV, priced -200 to +200: moneyline

  NBA: back the full-game favorite when one book prices the bet at 4% EV or more against the other books' no-vig price, at a price from -200 to +200 (moneyline). Machine rule: {"line.isFavorite": true, "ev.ml.pct": {"min": 4}, "ev.ml.price": {"min": -200, "max": 200}}; bet {"market": "ml", "side": "team", "price": "ev_book"} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  53-24 since 2021, ROI after the vig +23.7%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 38-19, +16.7%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 15-5, +43.7%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdog of 5 to 9.5 off 3+ straight non-covers, moneyline

  Road team, underdog of 5 to 9.5, failed to cover 3+ straight. Bet it to win outright. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  67-121 since 2021, ROI after the vig +20.4%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 46-74, +30.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 21-47, +3.3%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad favorite of 10+ with more rest (first half)

  Road team, favorite of 10+ at the close, has more rest than its opponent. Bet that team ATS. First-half spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  56-33 since 2023, ROI after the vig +19.7%. 2023-24: 19-11, +20.4%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 37-22, +19.3%.

• MoneyLine systemHome favorite of 4.5 or less on a back-to-back vs a rested team (first half)

  Home team, favorite of 4.5 or less at the close, is on a back-to-back, opponent rested. Bet its opponent ATS. First-half spread. Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.

  54-33-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +18.5%. 2023-24: 19-10-1, +25.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 35-23, +15.1%.

• Published systemWon without covering, no-rest follow-up

  Team won but did not cover last game; plays next day (B2B). Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  116-72-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +18.0%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 67-42, +17.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 49-30-1, +18.8%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad favorite of 4.5 or less off 3+ straight covers (first half)

  Road team, favorite of 4.5 or less at the close, covered 3+ straight. Bet its opponent ATS. First-half spread. Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.

  49-31-2 since 2023, ROI after the vig +16.9%. 2023-24: 16-13-1, +4.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 33-18-1, +23.8%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdog of 4.5 or less with more rest (first half)

  Road team, underdog of 4.5 or less at the close, has more rest than its opponent. Bet that team ATS. First-half spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  97-62-2 since 2023, ROI after the vig +16.3%. 2023-24: 36-26-1, +10.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 61-36-1, +19.8%.

• MoneyLine systemPlayoff home team off a home loss

  Playoff home team that lost its last game at home. Bet: back them on the spread.

  49-32 since 2021, ROI after the vig +15.6%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 27-18, +14.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 22-14, +16.9%.

• MoneyLine systemUnderdog at 4%+ EV, +100 to +200: moneyline

  NBA: Underdog at 4%+ EV, +100 to +200: moneyline. Machine rule: {"line.isFavorite": false, "ev.ml.pct": {"min": 4}, "ev.ml.price": {"min": 100, "max": 200}}; bet {"market": "ml", "side": "team", "price": "ev_book"} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  39-45 since 2021, ROI after the vig +15.4%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 29-36, +9.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 10-9, +35.0%.

• MoneyLine systemHome underdog of 4.5 or less on a 4+ game losing streak (first half)

  Home team, underdog of 4.5 or less at the close, has lost 4+ straight. Bet that team ATS. First-half spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  41-28-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +13.4%. 2023-24: 13-9, +12.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 28-19-1, +13.8%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad favorite of 5 to 9.5 in a division game (first half)

  Road team, favorite of 5 to 9.5 at the close, is in a division game. Bet that team ATS. First-half spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  69-47-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +13.3%. 2023-24: 20-13, +15.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 49-34-1, +12.6%.

• MoneyLine systemHome favorite of 10+ off a 15+ point loss (first half)

  Home team, favorite of 10+ at the close, lost its last game by 15+. Bet that team ATS. First-half spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  38-26 since 2023, ROI after the vig +12.7%. 2023-24: 12-10, +3.4%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 26-16, +17.6%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdog of 5 to 9.5 off 3+ straight non-covers (first half)

  Road team, underdog of 5 to 9.5 at the close, failed to cover 3+ straight. Bet that team ATS. First-half spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  57-40-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +12.4%. 2023-24: 20-9-1, +32.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 37-31, +4.1%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdog of 4.5 or less on a 4+ game losing streak

  Road team, underdog of 4.5 or less at the close, has lost 4+ straight. Bet that team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  61-43-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +12.3%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 32-24-1, +9.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 29-19, +15.7%.

• MoneyLine systemHome favorite of 10+ seeking revenge for a 10+ point loss

  Home team, favorite of 10+ at the close, lost the last meeting this season by 10+. Bet that team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  37-26-3 since 2021, ROI after the vig +12.1%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 16-14-2, +2.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 21-12-1, +21.3%.

• Published systemRest advantage (4+ days vs short rest)

  Team with 4+ days rest vs opponent on 0-1 days rest. Bet: back them on the spread.

  34-24-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +12.0%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 19-13-1, +13.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 15-11-1, +10.3%.

• MoneyLine systemHome favorite of 10+ off a 15+ point loss

  Home team, favorite of 10+ at the close, lost its last game by 15+. Bet that team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  48-34-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +11.7%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 20-18-1, +0.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 28-16, +21.4%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdog of 4.5 or less seeking revenge for a 10+ point loss (first half)

  Road team, underdog of 4.5 or less at the close, lost the last meeting this season by 10+. Bet that team ATS. First-half spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  72-51 since 2023, ROI after the vig +11.6%. 2023-24: 28-18, +15.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 44-33, +9.1%.

• MoneyLine systemHome favorite of 10+ late season in the race vs an eliminated team (first half)

  Home team, favorite of 10+ at the close, is still in the playoff race vs an eliminated team, final 20 games. Bet that team ATS. First-half spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  59-42-2 since 2023, ROI after the vig +11.2%. 2023-24: 19-15-1, +6.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 40-27-1, +13.9%.

• MoneyLine systemOff a home loss as a 10+ favorite (first half)

  Lost its last game at home as a 10+ point favorite. First-half bet. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  56-40 since 2023, ROI after the vig +11.2%. 2023-24: 16-9, +21.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 40-31, +7.5%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdog of 5 to 9.5 seeking revenge for a 10+ point loss (first half)

  Road team, underdog of 5 to 9.5 at the close, lost the last meeting this season by 10+. Bet that team ATS. First-half spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  102-74-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +11.0%. 2023-24: 39-26-1, +14.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 63-48, +8.9%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdog of 4.5 or less off 3+ straight non-covers

  Road team, underdog of 4.5 or less at the close, failed to cover 3+ straight. Bet that team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  96-70-4 since 2021, ROI after the vig +10.7%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 59-43-4, +10.7%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 37-27, +10.8%.

• Published systemAltitude home team back from a trip

  Denver or Utah in its first home game after a 3+ game road trip. Bet: back them on the spread.

  37-27-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +10.6%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 19-17-1, +1.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 18-10, +23.0%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdog of 5 to 9.5 off a 15+ point loss, moneyline

  Road team, underdog of 5 to 9.5, lost its last game by 15+. Bet it to win outright. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  111-222 since 2021, ROI after the vig +10.4%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 69-141, +10.4%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 42-81, +10.3%.

• MoneyLine systemHome favorite of 10+ on a back-to-back vs a rested team

  Home team, favorite of 10+ at the close, is on a back-to-back, opponent rested. Bet its opponent ATS. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  38-28-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +10.2%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 19-12, +17.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 19-16-1, +3.9%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad favorite of 10+ late season in the race vs an eliminated team

  Road team, favorite of 10+ at the close, is still in the playoff race vs an eliminated team, final 20 games. Bet that team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  60-44-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +10.2%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 32-26-1, +5.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 28-18-1, +16.1%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdog of 4.5 or less off 3+ straight covers (first half)

  Road team, underdog of 4.5 or less at the close, covered 3+ straight. Bet its opponent ATS. First-half spread. Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.

  48-35-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +10.1%. 2023-24: 15-6, +35.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 33-29-1, +1.5%.

• MoneyLine systemAny team at 3%+ EV, -200 to +200: moneyline

  NBA: Any team at 3%+ EV, -200 to +200: moneyline. Machine rule: {"ev.ml.pct": {"min": 3}, "ev.ml.price": {"min": -200, "max": 200}}; bet {"market": "ml", "side": "team", "price": "ev_book"} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  97-87 since 2021, ROI after the vig +9.9%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 70-66, +6.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 27-21, +20.7%.

• Published systemHome team with a 2+ day rest edge

  Home team with 2+ more days of rest. Bet: back them on the spread.

  211-158-6 since 2021, ROI after the vig +9.3%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 136-101-5, +9.7%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 75-57-1, +8.6%.

• Published systemFade narrow favorite winners, favored again

  Won last game as favorite by 1-3 points; favored again. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  187-141-5 since 2021, ROI after the vig +9.0%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 101-89-4, +1.7%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 86-52-1, +19.2%.

• MoneyLine systemLow total (220 or less), division game, under (first half)

  Closing total (220 or less), division game; bet the under. First-half total. Bet: bet the 1st half under.

  97-73-2 since 2023, ROI after the vig +8.9%. 2023-24: 37-27-1, +10.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 60-46-1, +8.1%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad favorite of 10+ late season in the race vs an eliminated team (first half)

  Road team, favorite of 10+ at the close, is still in the playoff race vs an eliminated team, final 20 games. Bet that team ATS. First-half spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  44-33 since 2023, ROI after the vig +8.7%. 2023-24: 18-14, +6.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 26-19, +10.3%.

• MoneyLine systemEliminated home team late season

  Final 12 regular-season games: home team already eliminated. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  111-85-3 since 2021, ROI after the vig +8.2%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 63-47-2, +9.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 48-38-1, +6.7%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad favorite of 4.5 or less on a 3-in-4 vs a fresher team (first half)

  Road team, favorite of 4.5 or less at the close, is on its 3rd game in 4 nights, opponent is not. Bet its opponent ATS. First-half spread. Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.

  63-48-2 since 2023, ROI after the vig +8.2%. 2023-24: 23-13, +21.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 40-35-2, +1.9%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdog of 4.5 or less off 3+ straight non-covers, moneyline

  Road team, underdog of 4.5 or less, failed to cover 3+ straight. Bet it to win outright. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  82-88 since 2021, ROI after the vig +7.9%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 53-53, +11.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 29-35, +2.2%.

• Published systemDog after two losses scoring 115+

  Underdog that lost its last two games while scoring 115+ in each. Bet: back them on the spread.

  87-68-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +7.5%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 45-33-2, +10.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 42-35, +4.5%.

• MoneyLine systemTrailed by 12+ at the half last game, favorite: 1H spread

  Trailed by 12+ at the half last game, favorite: 1H spread. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1PrevMargin": {"max": -12}, "line.spread": {"lt": 0}} Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  255-197-7 since 2023, ROI after the vig +7.5%. 2023-24: 82-64-2, +7.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 173-133-5, +7.8%.

• Published systemFade conference upset winner vs non-conference

  Won outright as dog vs conference opponent; next opponent from other conference. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  187-146-4 since 2021, ROI after the vig +7.3%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 116-86-4, +9.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 71-60, +3.6%.

• Published systemUnder after a 25+ point win, first 15 games (first half)

  Team won its last game by 25+, games 2-15 of the season; bet the under. First-half bet. Bet: bet the 1st half under.

  41-32-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +7.3%. 2023-24: 10-7, +12.4%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 31-25-1, +5.7%.

• MoneyLine systemHigh total (232.5+), both teams rested 2+ days, over (first half)

  Closing total (232.5+), both teams rested 2+ days; bet the over. First-half total. Bet: bet the 1st half over.

  55-43 since 2023, ROI after the vig +7.2%. 2023-24: 19-15, +6.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 36-28, +7.5%.

• MoneyLine systemHigh total (232.5+), both teams averaging 120+ over the last 3, under

  Closing total (232.5+), both teams averaging 120+ over the last 3; bet the under. Bet: bet the under.

  135-106-6 since 2021, ROI after the vig +7.1%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 67-55-4, +5.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 68-51-2, +9.3%.

• Published systemRest edge of 2+ days

  Team has 2+ more days of rest than its opponent. Bet: back them on the spread.

  347-272-11 since 2021, ROI after the vig +7.1%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 220-167-9, +8.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 127-105-2, +4.6%.

• Published systemRoad 1-day-rest vs home 2-days-rest

  Road team on 1 day rest vs home team on 2 days rest. Bet: back them on the spread.

  298-234-8 since 2021, ROI after the vig +7.1%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 188-138-6, +10.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 110-96-2, +2.1%.

• MoneyLine systemEliminated team vs a race team, over

  One team eliminated, the other still alive; bet the over. Bet: bet the over.

  161-127-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +6.9%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 98-72-1, +10.2%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 63-55, +2.1%.

• Published systemPlayoff home favorites off loss and non-cover

  Playoffs, home favorite that lost and failed to cover last game. Bet: back them on the spread.

  62-49-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +6.8%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 36-31, +2.7%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 26-18-1, +13.0%.

• MoneyLine systemWinning road dog vs a losing team (first half)

  Road underdog with a winning record facing a losing team (10+ games). First-half bet. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  47-37-2 since 2023, ROI after the vig +6.6%. 2023-24: 20-18-1, +0.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 27-19-1, +11.8%.

• Published systemPlayoff zig-zag

  Playoffs: back the team that lost the previous game in the series. Bet: back them on the spread.

  191-152-3 since 2021, ROI after the vig +6.6%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 114-91-2, +6.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 77-61-1, +6.9%.

• MoneyLine systemRace team favored vs an eliminated team (first half)

  Final 10 regular-season games: team still in the playoff race favored vs an eliminated team. First-half bet. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  71-56-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +6.6%. 2023-24: 23-19, +3.9%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 48-37-1, +7.9%.

• MoneyLine systemTeam facing playoff elimination

  Team facing elimination in a playoff series. Bet: back them on the spread.

  55-44-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +6.5%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 35-26, +10.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 20-18-1, +0.9%.

• MoneyLine systemHome favorite of 5 to 9.5 off 3+ straight non-covers (first half)

  Home team, favorite of 5 to 9.5 at the close, failed to cover 3+ straight. Bet that team ATS. First-half spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  53-42 since 2023, ROI after the vig +6.4%. 2023-24: 15-8, +24.4%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 38-34, +0.6%.

• MoneyLine systemTanking team, final 20 games (first half)

  Team under .300 in its final 20 regular-season games. First-half bet. Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.

  134-106-2 since 2023, ROI after the vig +6.3%. 2023-24: 49-37-2, +8.2%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 85-69, +5.3%.

• MoneyLine systemHome favorite of 5 to 9.5 off 3+ straight non-covers

  Home team, favorite of 5 to 9.5 at the close, failed to cover 3+ straight. Bet that team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  94-75-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +6.2%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 51-46-1, +0.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 43-29, +14.1%.

• MoneyLine systemHome favorite of 5 to 9.5 off a 15+ point loss (first half)

  Home team, favorite of 5 to 9.5 at the close, lost its last game by 15+. Bet that team ATS. First-half spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  57-45-2 since 2023, ROI after the vig +6.2%. 2023-24: 20-17-1, +2.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 37-28-1, +8.2%.

• MoneyLine systemBoth teams on a back-to-back 1H under

  Regular season. Both teams on 0 days rest. Bet the 1H under. Bet: bet the 1st half under.

  111-89-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +6.2%. 2023-24: 33-23-1, +12.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 78-66, +3.7%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdog of 5 to 9.5 off a 15+ point loss

  Road team, underdog of 5 to 9.5 at the close, lost its last game by 15+. Bet that team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  183-148-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +5.8%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 117-91-2, +7.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 66-57, +2.7%.

• Published systemVisitor at altitude on a back-to-back, over

  Road team at Denver or Utah on a back-to-back; bet the over. Bet: bet the over.

  37-30-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +5.5%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 20-17-1, +3.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 17-13, +8.3%.

• MoneyLine systemAny team at 2%+ EV, -200 to +200: moneyline

  NBA: Any team at 2%+ EV, -200 to +200: moneyline. Machine rule: {"ev.ml.pct": {"min": 2}, "ev.ml.price": {"min": -200, "max": 200}}; bet {"market": "ml", "side": "team", "price": "ev_book"} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  132-129 since 2021, ROI after the vig +5.4%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 93-96, +0.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 39-33, +17.5%.

• MoneyLine systemLong homestand, game 5+ (first half)

  Home team in game 5+ of a homestand. First-half bet. Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.

  140-114-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +5.3%. 2023-24: 54-44, +5.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 86-70-1, +5.5%.

• MoneyLine system8+ game winning streak

  Team on an 8+ game winning streak. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  99-81-3 since 2021, ROI after the vig +5.2%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 49-38-3, +7.7%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 50-43, +2.9%.

• Published system1H playoff zig-zag, home only

  As the zig-zag, only when the team that lost its last playoff game is at home next. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  59-48 since 2023, ROI after the vig +4.9%. 2023-24: 18-12, +13.9%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 41-36, +1.4%.

• MoneyLine systemFast starter (+5) vs slow starter (-5): 1H spread

  Fast starter (+5) vs slow starter (-5): 1H spread. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1SeasonMarginAvg": {"min": 5}, "schedule.teamGameNumber": {"min": 4}, "opponent.derived.h1SeasonMarginAvg": {"max": -5}} Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  53-43-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +4.9%. 2023-24: 16-11, +12.7%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 37-32-1, +1.8%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdog of 4.5 or less off a loss (first half)

  Road team, underdog of 4.5 or less at the close, lost its last game. Bet that team ATS. First-half spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  220-180-3 since 2023, ROI after the vig +4.9%. 2023-24: 79-61-2, +7.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 141-119-1, +3.4%.

• Published systemHome team on a back-to-back vs rested road, 1H

  Regular season. Home team on 0 days rest, road team with 1+. Bet the road team 1H ATS. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  243-201-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +4.6%. 2023-24: 81-63-1, +7.4%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 162-138, +3.2%.

• MoneyLine system1H ATS 60%+ with full-game ATS 45% or lower: 1H spread

  1H ATS 60%+ with full-game ATS 45% or lower: 1H spread. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1SeasonAtsPct": {"min": 0.6}, "derived.h1SeasonAtsWins": {"min": 4}, "derived.seasonAtsPct": {"max": 0.45}} Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  63-52-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +4.4%. 2023-24: 29-23-1, +6.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 34-29, +2.9%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad favorite of 5 to 9.5 on a 3-in-4 vs a fresher team

  Road team, favorite of 5 to 9.5 at the close, is on its 3rd game in 4 nights, opponent is not. Bet its opponent ATS. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  66-55-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.4%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 32-27-1, +3.9%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 34-28, +4.9%.

• MoneyLine systemTrailed by 12+ at the half last game (home): 1H spread bounce-back

  Trailed by 12+ at the half last game (home): 1H spread bounce-back. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1PrevMargin": {"max": -12}, "side": "home"} Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  322-268-7 since 2023, ROI after the vig +4.3%. 2023-24: 113-80-1, +11.7%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 209-188-6, +0.6%.

• MoneyLine systemHome favorite of 5 to 9.5 seeking revenge for a 10+ point loss (first half)

  Home team, favorite of 5 to 9.5 at the close, lost the last meeting this season by 10+. Bet that team ATS. First-half spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  57-47-3 since 2023, ROI after the vig +4.1%. 2023-24: 22-16-2, +9.9%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 35-31-1, +0.8%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdog of 4.5 or less on a 4+ game win streak

  Road team, underdog of 4.5 or less at the close, has won 4+ straight. Bet its opponent ATS. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  62-52 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.0%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 35-28, +6.2%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 27-24, +1.3%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdog of 10+ with more rest

  Road team, underdog of 10+ at the close, has more rest than its opponent. Bet that team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  77-65-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +3.8%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 41-33, +5.9%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 36-32-2, +1.5%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdog of 10+ on a 3-in-4 vs a fresher team

  Road team, underdog of 10+ at the close, is on its 3rd game in 4 nights, opponent is not. Bet its opponent ATS. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  114-96-5 since 2021, ROI after the vig +3.6%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 61-55-3, +0.4%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 53-41-2, +7.6%.

• MoneyLine systemRematch loser

  Second straight game vs the same opponent after losing the first. Bet: back them on the spread.

  342-290-7 since 2021, ROI after the vig +3.5%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 203-179-6, +1.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 139-111-1, +6.4%.

• MoneyLine systemHome underdog of 4.5 or less on a 4+ game losing streak

  Home team, underdog of 4.5 or less at the close, has lost 4+ straight. Bet that team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  68-58-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +3.4%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 42-36-1, +3.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 26-22-1, +3.9%.

• MoneyLine systemFast starter (+5) as an underdog: 1H moneyline

  Fast starter (+5) as an underdog: 1H moneyline. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1SeasonMarginAvg": {"min": 5}, "schedule.teamGameNumber": {"min": 4}, "line.spread": {"gt": 0}} Bet: back them on the 1st half moneyline.

  64-82-3 since 2023, ROI after the vig +3.2%. 2023-24: 27-30, +8.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 37-52-3, +0.1%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad favorite of 10+ off a loss

  Road team, favorite of 10+ at the close, lost its last game. Bet that team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  69-59-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +2.9%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 31-26, +4.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 38-33-2, +2.1%.

• Published systemLate-season tanking / motivation

  Final ~15 games: eliminated/tanking team vs team in playoff race. Bet: back them on the spread.

  146-125-3 since 2021, ROI after the vig +2.9%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 86-75-2, +2.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 60-50-1, +4.1%.

• MoneyLine systemRace team favored vs an eliminated team

  Final 10 regular-season games: team still in the playoff race favored vs an eliminated team. Bet: back them on the spread.

  105-90-3 since 2021, ROI after the vig +2.9%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 59-50-2, +3.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 46-40-1, +2.1%.

• MoneyLine systemHigh total (232.5+), both teams went under by 10+ last game, over (first half)

  Closing total (232.5+), both teams went under by 10+ last game; bet the over. First-half total. Bet: bet the 1st half over.

  55-47 since 2023, ROI after the vig +2.7%. 2023-24: 21-17, +5.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 34-30, +1.3%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad favorite of 4.5 or less on a back-to-back vs a rested team (first half)

  Road team, favorite of 4.5 or less at the close, is on a back-to-back, opponent rested. Bet its opponent ATS. First-half spread. Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.

  42-36 since 2023, ROI after the vig +2.6%. 2023-24: 12-10, +3.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 30-26, +2.2%.

• MoneyLine systemTwo slow starters (-3 1H each): 1H under

  Two slow starters (-3 1H each): 1H under. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "side": "home", "derived.h1SeasonMarginAvg": {"max": -3}, "schedule.teamGameNumber": {"min": 4}, "opponent.derived.h1SeasonMarginAvg": {"max": -3}} Bet: bet the 1st half under.

  101-87-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +2.6%. 2023-24: 31-27, +2.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 70-60-1, +2.8%.

• MoneyLine systemScored 140+ last game, under (first half)

  Team scored 140+ in its last game; bet the under. First-half bet. Bet: bet the 1st half under.

  110-95-3 since 2023, ROI after the vig +2.5%. 2023-24: 37-33-3, +0.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 73-62, +3.5%.

• MoneyLine systemScored 140+ last game, under

  Team scored 140+ in its last game; bet the under. Bet: bet the under.

  158-137-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +2.4%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 83-71-1, +3.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 75-66, +1.7%.

• MoneyLine systemTanking team, final 20 games, over

  Team under .300 in its final 20 regular-season games; bet the over. Bet: bet the over.

  207-181-3 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.9%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 116-104-1, +0.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 91-77-2, +3.5%.

• MoneyLine systemDay game, under

  Day-slot tip (not a night game); bet the under. Bet: bet the under.

  219-194-4 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.4%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 128-114-4, +1.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 91-80, +1.9%.

• MoneyLine system1H underdog with a fast start season (+2 or better): 1H moneyline

  1H underdog with a fast start season (+2 or better): 1H moneyline. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "firstHalf.line.spread": {"gt": 0}, "derived.h1SeasonMarginAvg": {"min": 2}, "schedule.teamGameNumber": {"min": 4}} Bet: back them on the 1st half moneyline.

  244-322-17 since 2023, ROI after the vig +1.4%. 2023-24: 85-110-5, +1.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 159-212-12, +1.3%.

• MoneyLine systemFade 4+ straight covers (first half)

  Team covered its last 4+ games. First-half bet. Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.

  238-210-4 since 2023, ROI after the vig +1.3%. 2023-24: 75-64-1, +2.9%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 163-146-3, +0.7%.

• MoneyLine systemSlow starter (-3 1H), opponent on a back-to-back: fade 1H spread

  Slow starter (-3 1H), opponent on a back-to-back: fade 1H spread. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1SeasonMarginAvg": {"max": -3}, "schedule.teamGameNumber": {"min": 4}, "opponent.schedule.b2b": true} Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.

  151-133-2 since 2023, ROI after the vig +1.3%. 2023-24: 50-42-2, +3.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 101-91, +0.3%.

• MoneyLine systemFast starter (season 1H margin +3) as an underdog (home): 1H spread

  Fast starter (season 1H margin +3) as an underdog (home): 1H spread. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1SeasonMarginAvg": {"min": 3}, "schedule.teamGameNumber": {"min": 4}, "line.spread": {"gt": 0}, "side": "home"} Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  54-48-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +1.0%. 2023-24: 21-18, +2.4%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 33-30-1, +0.2%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdog of 5 to 9.5 on a 3-in-4 vs a fresher team

  Road team, underdog of 5 to 9.5 at the close, is on its 3rd game in 4 nights, opponent is not. Bet its opponent ATS. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  157-140-3 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.0%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 103-93-3, +0.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 54-47, +2.3%.

• Published systemRoad one-day-rest vs home B2B

  Road team on 1 day rest vs home team on any B2B. Bet: back them on the spread.

  267-239-7 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.9%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 142-128-4, +0.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 125-111-3, +1.3%.

• MoneyLine systemLow total (220 or less), day game, under (first half)

  Closing total (220 or less), day game; bet the under. First-half total. Bet: bet the 1st half under.

  38-34-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +0.7%. 2023-24: 17-15, +1.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 21-19-1, +0.3%.

• MoneyLine systemHigh total (232.5+), day game, under (first half)

  Closing total (232.5+), day game; bet the under. First-half total. Bet: bet the 1st half under.

  33-30-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +0.4%. 2023-24: 11-10, +0.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 22-20-1, +0.6%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad favorite of 5 to 9.5 late season in the race vs an eliminated team (first half)

  Road team, favorite of 5 to 9.5 at the close, is still in the playoff race vs an eliminated team, final 20 games. Bet that team ATS. First-half spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  18-8 since 2023, ROI after the vig +32.2%. 2023-24: 5-3, +18.9%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 13-5, +38.1%.

• MoneyLine systemHome favorite of 10+ seeking revenge for a 10+ point loss (first half)

  Home team, favorite of 10+ at the close, lost the last meeting this season by 10+. Bet that team ATS. First-half spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  31-14 since 2023, ROI after the vig +30.9%. 2023-24: 11-0, +89.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 20-14, +11.9%.

• MoneyLine systemPlayoff home team off a home loss (first half)

  Playoff home team that lost its last game at home. First-half bet. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.

  31-16-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +25.1%. 2023-24: 10-3, +45.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 21-13-1, +17.2%.

• Published systemWest team in an early East tip

  Pacific or Mountain-zone team playing in the Eastern zone before 4 pm ET. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.

  24-13 since 2021, ROI after the vig +23.9%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 14-9, +16.2%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 10-4, +36.7%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad favorite of 4.5 or less on a 4+ game losing streak

  Road team, favorite of 4.5 or less at the close, has lost 4+ straight. Bet that team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

  23-13-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +22.0%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 11-4, +39.9%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 12-9-1, +9.2%.

• MoneyLine systemHome underdog of 4.5 or less on a 4+ game win streak (first half)

  Home team, underdog of 4.5 or less at the close, has won 4+ straight. Bet its opponent ATS. First-half spread. Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.

  31-18-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +20.3%. 2023-24: 11-5-1, +30.4%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 20-13, +15.4%.

NHL

Published system — made money 2021–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.

• Published systemWell-rested favorite vs B2B dog, puck line

  Favorite with 3+ days rest vs underdog on 2nd of B2B. Bet: back them on the spread.

  54-43 since 2021, ROI after the vig +31.6%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 34-26, +35.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 20-17, +26.1%.

• MoneyLine systemOver at 3%+ EV, -200 to +200: total

  NHL: Over at 3%+ EV, -200 to +200: total. Machine rule: {"listedSide": "home", "ev.over.pct": {"min": 3}, "ev.over.price": {"min": -200, "max": 200}}; bet {"market": "total", "side": "over", "price": "ev_book"} Bet: bet the over.

  39-24-4 since 2021, ROI after the vig +28.2%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 32-21-4, +24.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 7-3, +47.4%.

• Published systemNon-conference home dogs after a 3-4 goal loss

  Home underdog, non-conference opponent, lost previous game by 3 or 4. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  94-104 since 2021, ROI after the vig +11.2%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 51-62, +6.9%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 43-42, +17.0%.

• MoneyLine systemFade road underdogs of +100 to +149 on a 4+ game win streak

  Road team, underdogs of +100 to +149, won 4+ straight; bet the opponent. Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  93-49 since 2021, ROI after the vig +10.9%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 51-28, +10.2%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 42-21, +11.8%.

• MoneyLine systemOvers at total 6 when both teams allow 3.2+ per game

  total 6; both teams allow 3.2+ goals per game (game 15+). Bet: bet the over.

  124-90-27 since 2021, ROI after the vig +9.4%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 79-63-18, +4.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 45-27-9, +18.6%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdogs of +100 to +149 on a 3+ game losing streak

  Road team, underdogs of +100 to +149, lost 3+ straight. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  123-130 since 2021, ROI after the vig +8.3%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 63-66, +9.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 60-64, +6.9%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad favorites with 2+ more rest days

  Road favorite with 2+ more days off than the opponent. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  88-47 since 2021, ROI after the vig +7.1%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 59-30, +7.9%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 29-17, +5.5%.

• Published systemConference home teams after close favored loss

  Game 9-61; conference opponent; opponent won last by 1-7; team lost last by 3-8 as a favorite. Bet: back them on the spread.

  44-45 since 2021, ROI after the vig +6.5%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 22-22, +6.7%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 22-23, +6.3%.

• MoneyLine systemUnders at total 6 when both teams allow under 2.9

  total 6; both teams allow under 2.9 goals per game (game 15+). Bet: bet the under.

  125-102-22 since 2021, ROI after the vig +5.5%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 90-72-16, +6.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 35-30-6, +3.0%.

• MoneyLine systemHome favorites with 2+ more rest days

  Home favorite with 2+ more days off than the opponent. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  311-154 since 2021, ROI after the vig +5.0%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 189-93, +4.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 122-61, +6.0%.

• Published systemFade teams on a back-to-back

  Team playing 2nd game of a B2B. Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  872-586 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.6%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 499-335, +5.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 373-251, +4.0%.

• MoneyLine systemRested road underdogs vs a team on a back-to-back

  Road underdog with 1+ day off; opponent on the 2nd night of a back-to-back. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  72-98 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.5%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 41-59, +3.6%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 31-39, +5.7%.

• MoneyLine systemRested home favorites vs a team on a back-to-back

  Home favorite with 1+ day off; opponent on the 2nd night of a back-to-back. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  522-248 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.3%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 294-137, +4.4%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 228-111, +4.1%.

• MoneyLine systemHome teams after flying 2+ zones west

  Home team whose previous game was 2+ time zones east. Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  142-128 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.2%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 84-74, +3.5%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 58-54, +5.3%.

• Published systemSecond night of B2B: road team

  Road team on 2nd night of B2B vs rested opponent. Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  660-416 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.2%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 371-246, +2.4%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 289-170, +6.6%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad back-to-back after a road game, fade

  Road team on a back-to-back whose previous game was also on the road; bet the opponent. Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  584-386 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.2%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 332-230, +2.7%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 252-156, +6.2%.

• Published systemRoad favorites after a 4+ goal loss, puck line

  Road favorite that lost its previous game by 4+; -1.5. Bet: back them on the spread.

  62-87 since 2021, ROI after the vig +2.8%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 37-52, +0.4%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 25-35, +6.2%.

• MoneyLine systemFade road teams after a 3+ goal win

  Road team won its previous game by 3 or more; bet the opponent. Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  734-622 since 2021, ROI after the vig +2.3%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 427-368, +2.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 307-254, +2.7%.

• MoneyLine systemFade teams after a shutout win as favorites

  Favorite that pitched/posted a shutout in its previous game; bet the opponent. Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  167-236 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.8%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 92-136, +0.9%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 75-100, +0.8%.

• MoneyLine systemUnder at 3%+ EV, -200 to +200: total

  NHL: Under at 3%+ EV, -200 to +200: total. Machine rule: {"listedSide": "home", "ev.under.pct": {"min": 3}, "ev.under.price": {"min": -200, "max": 200}}; bet {"market": "total", "side": "under", "price": "ev_book"} Bet: bet the under.

  22-20-4 since 2021, ROI after the vig +9.5%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 17-16-4, +9.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 5-4, +11.0%.

• MoneyLine systemFade road underdogs of +150 or longer on a 4+ game win streak

  Road team, underdogs of +150 or longer, won 4+ straight; bet the opponent. Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  33-14 since 2021, ROI after the vig +3.3%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 20-9, +1.2%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 13-5, +6.7%.

• MoneyLine systemHome favorites that are lucky (record beats Pythagorean)

  Home favorite whose win pct exceeds its Pythagorean by 6+ points (game 30+); bet the opponent. Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  34-31 since 2021, ROI after the vig +24.9%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 7-15, -10.0%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 27-16, +42.7%.

• MoneyLine systemHome underdogs with the better run/goal differential

  Home underdog with a higher Pythagorean win pct than the favorite (game 20+). Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  55-50 since 2021, ROI after the vig +9.1%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 23-24, -0.4%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 32-26, +16.9%.

• MoneyLine systemHome underdogs of +171 or longer off a win

  Home team priced as underdogs of +171 or longer; won/lost its previous game (off a win). Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  50-102 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.1%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 31-77, -7.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 19-25, +33.3%.

• MoneyLine systemRested home underdogs vs a team on a back-to-back

  Home underdog with 1+ day off; opponent on the 2nd night of a back-to-back. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  138-168 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.0%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 77-109, -2.2%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 61-59, +13.8%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad favorites playing 4 games in 6 nights, fade

  Road favorite in its 4th game in 6 nights; bet the opponent. Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  214-259 since 2021, ROI after the vig +3.0%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 115-170, -5.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 99-89, +15.5%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdogs of +131 to +170 off a loss

  Road team priced as underdogs of +131 to +170; won/lost its previous game (off a loss). Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  273-382 since 2021, ROI after the vig +2.9%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 143-219, -2.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 130-163, +9.4%.

• MoneyLine systemPlayoff Game 1 home teams

  Home team in Game 1 of a playoff series. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  39-24 since 2021, ROI after the vig +2.2%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 22-16, -1.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 17-8, +7.7%.

• MoneyLine systemHome teams that won the last meeting by 3+, as underdogs

  Home underdog that beat this opponent by 3+ last time. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  129-158 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.9%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 62-90, -7.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 67-68, +10.0%.

• MoneyLine systemHome favorites of -120 to -149 off a win

  Home team priced as favorites of -120 to -149; won/lost its previous game (off a win). Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  354-258 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.8%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 182-136, -0.1%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 172-122, +1.8%.

• MoneyLine systemHome teams under .450 vs teams over .550, as dogs

  Home underdog with a sub-.450 record facing a .550+ team (game 20+). Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  212-342 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.7%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 133-239, -3.3%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 79-103, +8.8%.

• Published systemEast-to-West first game of trip

  Eastern team, first game of Mountain/Pacific trip after a home-zone game. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  93-90 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.4%. 2021-22 to 2023-24: 50-55, -8.8%; 2024-25 to 2026-27: 43-35, +12.7%.

MLB

Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.

• Published system7+ win streak vs similar intraleague team

  7+ game win streak; same-league opponent within 10 win-pct points; price -350 to +100. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  49-18 since 2021, ROI after the vig +23.1%. 2021 to 2023: 28-10, +23.6%; 2024 to 2026: 21-8, +22.4%.

• MoneyLine systemAny team at 2%+ EV, -200 to +200: moneyline

  MLB: Any team at 2%+ EV, -200 to +200: moneyline. Machine rule: {"ev.ml.pct": {"min": 2}, "ev.ml.price": {"min": -200, "max": 200}}; bet {"market": "ml", "side": "team", "price": "ev_book"} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  79-65 since 2021, ROI after the vig +19.6%. 2021 to 2023: 52-43, +17.8%; 2024 to 2026: 27-22, +23.1%.

• MoneyLine systemERA 3.25-or-lower starter, team lost 3+ straight, underdog or pick

  ERA 3.25-or-lower starter, team lost 3+ straight, underdog or pick. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.era": {"max": 3.25}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "form.winStreak": {"max": -3}, "line.ml": {"min": -110}} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  143-131 since 2021, ROI after the vig +15.0%. 2021 to 2023: 59-63, +6.6%; 2024 to 2026: 84-68, +21.8%.

• MoneyLine systemFade a high-WHIP (1.45+) starter as a favorite of -150 or shorter

  Fade a high-WHIP (1.45+) starter as a favorite of -150 or shorter. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.whip": {"min": 1.45}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "line.ml": {"max": -150}} Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  142-175 since 2021, ROI after the vig +13.4%. 2021 to 2023: 85-95, +19.5%; 2024 to 2026: 57-80, +5.5%.

• Published systemInterleague plus-money better teams

  Interleague; 50+ games played; plus-money underdog with 10%+ better win pct. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  29-27 since 2021, ROI after the vig +13.4%. 2021 to 2023: 18-17, +12.2%; 2024 to 2026: 11-10, +15.3%.

• MoneyLine systemworkhorse (6+ IP/start) starter as an underdog vs a starter with ERA under 3.50

  workhorse (6+ IP/start) starter as an underdog vs a starter with ERA under 3.50. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.inningsPerStart": {"min": 6}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "line.ml": {"min": 100}, "opponent.pitcher.era": {"lt": 3.5}, "opponent.pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  134-141 since 2021, ROI after the vig +11.7%. 2021 to 2023: 73-80, +9.4%; 2024 to 2026: 61-61, +14.5%.

• Published systemFade 7+ game losing streak road dogs

  Team on 7+ game losing streak, road underdog. Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  103-41 since 2021, ROI after the vig +11.4%. 2021 to 2023: 58-19, +17.5%; 2024 to 2026: 45-22, +4.3%.

• MoneyLine systemFade a short-outing (4.8 IP/start or fewer) starter as a favorite of -150 or shorter

  Fade a short-outing (4.8 IP/start or fewer) starter as a favorite of -150 or shorter. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.inningsPerStart": {"max": 4.8}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "line.ml": {"max": -150}} Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  191-252 since 2021, ROI after the vig +11.2%. 2021 to 2023: 124-160, +12.7%; 2024 to 2026: 67-92, +8.3%.

• MoneyLine systemAny team at 3%+ EV, -200 to +200: spread

  MLB: Any team at 3%+ EV, -200 to +200: spread. Machine rule: {"ev.spread.pct": {"min": 3}, "ev.spread.price": {"min": -200, "max": 200}}; bet {"market": "ats", "side": "team", "price": "ev_book"} Bet: back them on the spread.

  33-30 since 2021, ROI after the vig +10.8%. 2021 to 2023: 18-13, +20.4%; 2024 to 2026: 15-17, +1.5%.

• Published system9+ game win streaks at fair prices

  On 9+ game win streak; favorite of -145 or less, or underdog. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  38-30 since 2021, ROI after the vig +10.2%. 2021 to 2023: 20-17, +8.8%; 2024 to 2026: 18-13, +11.8%.

• MoneyLine systemERA 4.75+ starter as a favorite, opponent won 4+ straight: fade

  ERA 4.75+ starter as a favorite, opponent won 4+ straight: fade. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.era": {"min": 4.75}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "opponent.form.winStreak": {"min": 4}, "line.ml": {"max": -101}} Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  43-41 since 2021, ROI after the vig +8.6%. 2021 to 2023: 21-18, +16.8%; 2024 to 2026: 22-23, +1.6%.

• Published systemPost-All-Star home underdogs

  First three series after the All-Star break, home underdog. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  140-147 since 2021, ROI after the vig +8.2%. 2021 to 2023: 81-88, +8.7%; 2024 to 2026: 59-59, +7.4%.

• Published systemPost-All-Star high-total unders

  First three series after the All-Star break, total 9+. Bet: bet the under.

  186-143-17 since 2021, ROI after the vig +8.0%. 2021 to 2023: 105-85-9, +5.6%; 2024 to 2026: 81-58-8, +11.3%.

• Published system4-game losers with decent pitching, game 5

  Lost 4 straight, allowed 6.0 RPG or fewer during the streak. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  230-213 since 2021, ROI after the vig +7.4%. 2021 to 2023: 125-106, +13.4%; 2024 to 2026: 105-107, +0.9%.

• MoneyLine systemFade a short-outing (4.8 IP/start or fewer) starter as a home favorite

  Fade a short-outing (4.8 IP/start or fewer) starter as a home favorite. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.inningsPerStart": {"max": 4.8}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "side": "home", "line.ml": {"max": -101}} Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  389-432 since 2021, ROI after the vig +6.8%. 2021 to 2023: 223-257, +6.0%; 2024 to 2026: 166-175, +7.9%.

• MoneyLine systemAce on 6+ days rest, as an underdog

  Ace on 6+ days rest, as an underdog. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.era": {"max": 3.25}, "pitcher.daysRest": {"min": 6}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "line.ml": {"min": 100}} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  140-157 since 2021, ROI after the vig +6.5%. 2021 to 2023: 61-75, +1.5%; 2024 to 2026: 79-82, +10.7%.

• Published systemSeries-finale road dogs on 2-game skid

  Final game of series; road underdog on a 2-game losing streak. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  198-246 since 2021, ROI after the vig +6.1%. 2021 to 2023: 95-122, +5.4%; 2024 to 2026: 103-124, +6.8%.

• MoneyLine systemFade a starter who struck out 10+ last start, as a favorite of -150 or shorter

  Fade a starter who struck out 10+ last start, as a favorite of -150 or shorter. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.last.strikeouts": {"min": 10}, "line.ml": {"max": -150}} Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  184-284 since 2021, ROI after the vig +6.0%. 2021 to 2023: 104-176, +1.6%; 2024 to 2026: 80-108, +12.5%.

• MoneyLine systemFade road favorites of -150 or shorter on a 4+ game win streak

  Road team, favorites of -150 or shorter, won 4+ straight; bet the opponent. Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  81-120 since 2021, ROI after the vig +5.6%. 2021 to 2023: 52-82, +2.5%; 2024 to 2026: 29-38, +11.8%.

• MoneyLine systemBack an ace (ERA 3.00 or lower) starter home underdog

  Back an ace (ERA 3.00 or lower) starter home underdog. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.era": {"max": 3.0}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "side": "home", "line.ml": {"min": 100}} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  120-133 since 2021, ROI after the vig +5.2%. 2021 to 2023: 55-66, +0.4%; 2024 to 2026: 65-67, +9.6%.

• MoneyLine systemStarter threw 110+ pitches last start: over

  Starter threw 110+ pitches last start: over. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.last.pitches": {"min": 110}} Bet: bet the over.

  159-130-7 since 2021, ROI after the vig +5.2%. 2021 to 2023: 115-97-5, +3.6%; 2024 to 2026: 44-33-2, +9.5%.

• MoneyLine systemFade a short-outing (4.8 IP/start or fewer) starter as a favorite

  Fade a short-outing (4.8 IP/start or fewer) starter as a favorite. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.inningsPerStart": {"max": 4.8}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "line.ml": {"max": -101}} Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  566-639 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.8%. 2021 to 2023: 328-382, +4.3%; 2024 to 2026: 238-257, +5.4%.

• Published systemEarly-season road dogs off a loss

  March-May; road underdog +100 to +160; lost previous game. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  490-566 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.5%. 2021 to 2023: 226-254, +7.0%; 2024 to 2026: 264-312, +2.4%.

• MoneyLine systemERA 3.25-or-lower starter, day game after a night game, underdog or pick

  ERA 3.25-or-lower starter, day game after a night game, underdog or pick. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.era": {"max": 3.25}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "schedule.dayAfterNight": true, "line.ml": {"min": -110}} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  194-213 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.5%. 2021 to 2023: 86-96, +3.4%; 2024 to 2026: 108-117, +5.3%.

• Published systemSeries openers on 3+ win streak

  Opening game of a new series; team on 3+ game win streak. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  567-434 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.3%. 2021 to 2023: 299-225, +4.0%; 2024 to 2026: 268-209, +4.7%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdogs of +131 to +170 off a loss

  Road team priced as underdogs of +131 to +170; won/lost its previous game (off a loss). Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  621-866 since 2021, ROI after the vig +3.3%. 2021 to 2023: 339-475, +3.3%; 2024 to 2026: 282-391, +3.4%.

• MoneyLine systemAce vs ace (both ERA 2.75 or lower): under

  Ace vs ace (both ERA 2.75 or lower): under. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "side": "home", "pitcher.era": {"max": 2.75}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "opponent.pitcher.era": {"max": 2.75}, "opponent.pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}} Bet: bet the under.

  90-76-13 since 2021, ROI after the vig +3.2%. 2021 to 2023: 40-35-5, +1.1%; 2024 to 2026: 50-41-8, +4.9%.

• Published systemSeries-finale road dogs ending a trip

  Last game of series; road dog +101 to +187; last game of road trip. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  482-603 since 2021, ROI after the vig +3.1%. 2021 to 2023: 243-291, +6.3%; 2024 to 2026: 239-312, +0.1%.

• MoneyLine systemERA 4.75+ starter as a favorite, team off a loss: fade

  ERA 4.75+ starter as a favorite, team off a loss: fade. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.era": {"min": 4.75}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "form.prevResult": "L", "line.ml": {"max": -101}} Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  396-439 since 2021, ROI after the vig +2.8%. 2021 to 2023: 198-227, +1.0%; 2024 to 2026: 198-212, +4.6%.

• MoneyLine systemFade teams going for the sweep as favorites

  Series finale; team won the series' previous games (2+ straight vs this opponent) and is favored; bet the opponent. Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  576-752 since 2021, ROI after the vig +2.6%. 2021 to 2023: 281-387, +1.8%; 2024 to 2026: 295-365, +3.4%.

• Published systemSeries-ending teams on a 3+ game losing streak

  Final game of a series; team has lost 3+ straight. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  581-606 since 2021, ROI after the vig +2.5%. 2021 to 2023: 292-327, +0.3%; 2024 to 2026: 289-279, +4.8%.

• MoneyLine systemSwept-so-far teams in the finale

  Series finale (game 3+); team lost every earlier game of the series. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  1063-1082 since 2021, ROI after the vig +2.1%. 2021 to 2023: 511-545, +1.3%; 2024 to 2026: 552-537, +2.9%.

• MoneyLine systemERA 4.75+ starter as a favorite, division game: fade

  ERA 4.75+ starter as a favorite, division game: fade. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.era": {"min": 4.75}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "matchup.divisionGame": true, "line.ml": {"max": -101}} Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  278-328 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.9%. 2021 to 2023: 147-175, +1.4%; 2024 to 2026: 131-153, +2.5%.

• MoneyLine systemHome favorites of -200 or shorter off a loss

  Home team priced as favorites of -200 or shorter; won/lost its previous game (off a loss). Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  438-174 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.5%. 2021 to 2023: 260-103, +1.5%; 2024 to 2026: 178-71, +1.4%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdogs of +100 to +149 on a 3+ game losing streak

  Road team, underdogs of +100 to +149, lost 3+ straight. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  332-395 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.5%. 2021 to 2023: 148-181, +0.9%; 2024 to 2026: 184-214, +1.9%.

• Published systemSmall road favorites in series openers

  Game 1 of a series; road favorite -111 to -130. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  304-247 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.4%. 2021 to 2023: 141-111, +2.6%; 2024 to 2026: 163-136, +0.4%.

• MoneyLine systemFade a starter who struck out 10+ last start, as a favorite

  Fade a starter who struck out 10+ last start, as a favorite. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.last.strikeouts": {"min": 10}, "line.ml": {"max": -101}} Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  365-498 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.9%. 2021 to 2023: 194-274, +0.5%; 2024 to 2026: 171-224, +1.4%.

• MoneyLine systemFade a bad-ERA (5.00+) starter as a favorite of -150 or shorter

  Fade a bad-ERA (5.00+) starter as a favorite of -150 or shorter. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.era": {"min": 5.0}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "line.ml": {"max": -150}} Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  161-245 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.9%. 2021 to 2023: 90-136, +0.1%; 2024 to 2026: 71-109, +2.0%.

• MoneyLine systemAway team at 4%+ EV, priced -200 to +200: moneyline

  MLB: back the away team when one book prices the bet at 4% EV or more against the other books' no-vig price, at a price from -200 to +200 (moneyline). Machine rule: {"listedSide": "away", "ev.ml.pct": {"min": 4}, "ev.ml.price": {"min": -200, "max": 200}}; bet {"market": "ml", "side": "team", "price": "ev_book"} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  13-8 since 2021, ROI after the vig +34.8%. 2021 to 2023: 11-7, +33.5%; 2024 to 2026: 2-1, +43.0%.

• Published system7+ losing streak vs elite opponent

  Team on 7+ game losing streak vs opponent with 61.5%+ win pct. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  20-28 since 2021, ROI after the vig +7.7%. 2021 to 2023: 15-20, +8.8%; 2024 to 2026: 5-8, +4.8%.

• MoneyLine systemERA 4.75+ starter as a favorite, traveled east 2+ time zones: fade

  ERA 4.75+ starter as a favorite, traveled east 2+ time zones: fade. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.era": {"min": 4.75}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "travel.tzShift": {"min": 2}, "line.ml": {"max": -101}} Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  28-24 since 2021, ROI after the vig +18.3%. 2021 to 2023: 10-12, -0.9%; 2024 to 2026: 18-12, +32.3%.

• MoneyLine systemBack a workhorse (6+ IP/start) starter road underdog

  Back a workhorse (6+ IP/start) starter road underdog. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.inningsPerStart": {"min": 6}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "side": "away", "line.ml": {"min": 100}} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  187-221 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.9%. 2021 to 2023: 90-128, -5.0%; 2024 to 2026: 97-93, +16.2%.

• MoneyLine systemUnderdog whose starter has the lower WHIP (1.20 or lower vs 1.35+)

  Underdog whose starter has the lower WHIP (1.20 or lower vs 1.35+). Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "line.ml": {"min": 100}, "pitcher.whip": {"max": 1.2}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "opponent.pitcher.whip": {"min": 1.35}, "opponent.pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  132-151 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.4%. 2021 to 2023: 57-77, -4.1%; 2024 to 2026: 75-74, +12.0%.

• MoneyLine systemBack a workhorse (6+ IP/start) starter as an underdog

  Back a workhorse (6+ IP/start) starter as an underdog. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.inningsPerStart": {"min": 6}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "line.ml": {"min": 100}} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  251-297 since 2021, ROI after the vig +3.7%. 2021 to 2023: 128-169, -2.3%; 2024 to 2026: 123-128, +10.8%.

• MoneyLine systemERA 4.75+ starter as a favorite, team lost 3+ straight: fade

  ERA 4.75+ starter as a favorite, team lost 3+ straight: fade. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.era": {"min": 4.75}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "form.winStreak": {"max": -3}, "line.ml": {"max": -101}} Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  85-92 since 2021, ROI after the vig +3.0%. 2021 to 2023: 47-53, -0.3%; 2024 to 2026: 38-39, +7.4%.

• MoneyLine systemDoubleheader game 2 overs

  Second game of a doubleheader (bullpens taxed). Bet: bet the over.

  114-98-6 since 2021, ROI after the vig +2.9%. 2021 to 2023: 69-68-5, -3.4%; 2024 to 2026: 45-30-1, +14.6%.

• MoneyLine systemFade a lucky (ERA 3.25 or lower, WHIP 1.30+) starter as a road favorite

  Fade a lucky (ERA 3.25 or lower, WHIP 1.30+) starter as a road favorite. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.era": {"max": 3.25}, "pitcher.whip": {"min": 1.3}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "side": "away", "line.ml": {"max": -101}} Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  33-38 since 2021, ROI after the vig +2.4%. 2021 to 2023: 12-16, -0.3%; 2024 to 2026: 21-22, +4.1%.

• MoneyLine systemBounce-back: ERA under 3.75 starter walked 4+ last start

  Bounce-back: ERA under 3.75 starter walked 4+ last start. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.last.walks": {"min": 4}, "pitcher.era": {"lt": 3.75}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  365-285 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.9%. 2021 to 2023: 166-139, -2.6%; 2024 to 2026: 199-146, +5.9%.

• MoneyLine systemHome underdogs of +131 to +170 off a loss

  Home team priced as underdogs of +131 to +170; won/lost its previous game (off a loss). Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  312-439 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.8%. 2021 to 2023: 183-274, -1.7%; 2024 to 2026: 129-165, +7.2%.

• MoneyLine systemBack an ace (ERA 3.00 or lower) starter as an underdog

  Back an ace (ERA 3.00 or lower) starter as an underdog. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.era": {"max": 3.0}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "line.ml": {"min": 100}} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  423-516 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.7%. 2021 to 2023: 183-258, -6.1%; 2024 to 2026: 240-258, +8.6%.

• MoneyLine systemRoad underdogs of +150 or longer in series finales

  Road team priced as underdogs of +150 or longer, series finales. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  291-522 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.4%. 2021 to 2023: 160-300, -1.3%; 2024 to 2026: 131-222, +4.9%.

• MoneyLine systemPost-All-Star road underdogs (first 3 series)

  Road underdog in its first three series after the break. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  223-287 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.3%. 2021 to 2023: 89-143, -6.5%; 2024 to 2026: 134-144, +7.8%.

• MoneyLine systemace (ERA 3.00 or lower) starter as an underdog vs a starter with ERA under 3.50

  ace (ERA 3.00 or lower) starter as an underdog vs a starter with ERA under 3.50. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.era": {"max": 3.0}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "line.ml": {"min": 100}, "opponent.pitcher.era": {"lt": 3.5}, "opponent.pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  200-248 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.3%. 2021 to 2023: 86-123, -6.4%; 2024 to 2026: 114-125, +8.0%.

• MoneyLine systemUnders with a total 9 to 9.5 in division games

  Division game, total 9 to 9.5. Bet: bet the under.

  626-548-97 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.2%. 2021 to 2023: 363-347-54, -2.9%; 2024 to 2026: 263-201-43, +7.6%.

• MoneyLine systemRighty high-WHIP (1.40+) starter vs a lefty, favorite: fade

  Righty high-WHIP (1.40+) starter vs a lefty, favorite: fade. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.hand": "R", "pitcher.whip": {"min": 1.4}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "opponent.pitcher.hand": "L", "line.ml": {"max": -101}} Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  164-189 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.2%. 2021 to 2023: 67-101, -10.3%; 2024 to 2026: 97-88, +11.6%.

• MoneyLine systemHome favorites of -150 or shorter on a 3+ game losing streak

  Home team, favorites of -150 or shorter, lost 3+ straight. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  214-109 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.8%. 2021 to 2023: 110-63, -4.3%; 2024 to 2026: 104-46, +6.8%.

• MoneyLine systemStarter making 1st or 2nd start of the season after May, as a favorite: fade

  Starter making 1st or 2nd start of the season after May, as a favorite: fade. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"max": 1}, "derived.month": {"min": 6}, "line.ml": {"max": -101}} Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  247-287 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.8%. 2021 to 2023: 117-158, -6.3%; 2024 to 2026: 130-129, +8.3%.

• MoneyLine systemFade a high-WHIP (1.45+) starter as a favorite

  Fade a high-WHIP (1.45+) starter as a favorite. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.whip": {"min": 1.45}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "line.ml": {"max": -101}} Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  540-626 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.8%. 2021 to 2023: 264-327, -1.1%; 2024 to 2026: 276-299, +2.7%.

• MoneyLine systemBack an ace (ERA 3.00 or lower) starter road underdog

  Back an ace (ERA 3.00 or lower) starter road underdog. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.era": {"max": 3.0}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "side": "away", "line.ml": {"min": 100}} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  303-382 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.5%. 2021 to 2023: 128-191, -8.2%; 2024 to 2026: 175-191, +8.2%.

• MoneyLine systemERA 3.25-or-lower starter, series finale, underdog or pick

  ERA 3.25-or-lower starter, series finale, underdog or pick. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.era": {"max": 3.25}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "derived.seriesFinale": true, "line.ml": {"min": -110}} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  230-278 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.5%. 2021 to 2023: 99-134, -4.6%; 2024 to 2026: 131-144, +4.9%.

• MoneyLine systemERA 3.25-or-lower starter, team off a loss, underdog or pick

  ERA 3.25-or-lower starter, team off a loss, underdog or pick. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.era": {"max": 3.25}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "form.prevResult": "L", "line.ml": {"min": -110}} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  430-511 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.3%. 2021 to 2023: 183-254, -7.5%; 2024 to 2026: 247-257, +7.0%.

• MoneyLine systemFade a high-WHIP (1.45+) starter as a home favorite

  Fade a high-WHIP (1.45+) starter as a home favorite. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.whip": {"min": 1.45}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "side": "home", "line.ml": {"max": -101}} Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  391-457 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.3%. 2021 to 2023: 188-244, -4.5%; 2024 to 2026: 203-213, +5.3%.

• MoneyLine systemworkhorse (6+ IP/start) starter vs a low K-BB (under 3 per 9) starter

  workhorse (6+ IP/start) starter vs a low K-BB (under 3 per 9) starter. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.inningsPerStart": {"min": 6}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "opponent.pitcher.kMinusBbPer9": {"lt": 3}, "opponent.pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  114-66 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.2%. 2021 to 2023: 55-36, -4.6%; 2024 to 2026: 59-30, +5.1%.

• MoneyLine systemBounce-back: ERA under 3.75 starter lasted 3 IP or fewer last start

  Bounce-back: ERA under 3.75 starter lasted 3 IP or fewer last start. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.last.innings": {"max": 3}, "pitcher.era": {"lt": 3.75}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}} Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  188-162 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.1%. 2021 to 2023: 85-83, -5.9%; 2024 to 2026: 103-79, +5.7%.

• MoneyLine systemFade a bad-ERA (5.00+) starter as a home favorite

  Fade a bad-ERA (5.00+) starter as a home favorite. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.era": {"min": 5.0}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "side": "home", "line.ml": {"max": -101}} Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.

  451-537 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.0%. 2021 to 2023: 212-263, -1.7%; 2024 to 2026: 239-274, +1.7%.

• MoneyLine systemHome underdogs of +100 to +149 on a 3+ game losing streak

  Home team, underdogs of +100 to +149, lost 3+ straight. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  237-288 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.0%. 2021 to 2023: 119-174, -9.5%; 2024 to 2026: 118-114, +12.1%.

• MoneyLine systemHome favorites of -150 or shorter in division games

  Home team priced as favorites of -150 or shorter in a division game. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

  1077-544 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.0%. 2021 to 2023: 657-340, -1.0%; 2024 to 2026: 420-204, +1.7%.

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